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If anyone thinks the Israelis will simply march into the sea like so many lemmings is engaged in an act of mental masturbation.

They may make nice, polite noises to Obozo and Hitlery but the Jews ain’t going anywhere. They will stand and fight just as they always have and, if they’re on the verge of being overrun, mushrooms (as in clouds) will start blooming all over the ME.

Think Masada here.

Masada, i.e. mass suicide is not exactly a comforting scenario for Israelis to contemplate. More to the point is that the Arabs will continuously try in one way or the other to attack Israel even if it is in squalid and repulsive ways such as the murder of the Fogel family. Israel is light years ahead of the Arab states and Iran in technology and in any high or mid intensity conflict will prevail in a crushing way. The Arabs seem to grasp that and have reverted to a war of nerves punctuated by vicious acts of terror. The Israelis have countered this with building a security barrier around part of the frontiers of pre-1967 Israel and by deploying a lot of the IDF into the West Bank.How long can the current stalemate last? The Arabs seem to sense that endless pressure will eventually be rewarded by the evacuation of most of the Westbank. The ares Israelis have settled in the Westbank are militarily difficult to defend. Will there eventually be an evacuation to mostly the ‘67 frontiers? None know but the thrust of the ;Quartet’ negotiations leans that way. Many Israelis would like to retreat behind those frontiers and create a super-maginot line that in the words of one proponent of this plan ‘not even a bird could fly over it’.

If this happens the Arabs will move closer and devote their clever and perverted minds to undermining security within the Israeli bunker state.
Agitation cum terrorism by Israeli Arabs to end ‘the Zionist essence’ of Israel will be one arm of this struggle. If the Israelis eventually buckle to that campaign (and this is 25 years or more away) then the Jewish community in Israel is pretty much finished as the Arabs will move on to a ‘Lebanese solution’ in which the ‘infidels’ , in this case Maronite Christians. are squeezed out by civil war and persistent terror and ethnic violence. The Maronites went from the ruling faction in Lebanon to a dispersed minority dealing now with their own diaspora. This has also been the fate of the Christian Arabs of the Westbank.

I firmly believe in some not fully rational sense the fate of Israel as Israel and the fate of the United States as a free nation, not the world's largest banana republic, are at some level inextricably connected and the course of events at play in the world does not make me feel optimistic about the long run prospects of either.