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Gaddafi's Next Move: Sabotage Oil and Sow Chaos?
Time ^ | 02/22/2011 | Robert Baer

Posted on 02/22/2011 12:16:44 PM PST by SeekAndFind

There's been virtually no reliable information coming out of Tripoli, but a source close to the Gaddafi regime I did manage to get hold of told me the already terrible situation in Libya will get much worse. Among other things, Gaddafi has ordered security services to start sabotaging oil facilities. They will start by blowing up several oil pipelines, cutting off flow to Mediterranean ports. The sabotage, according to the insider, is meant to serve as a message to Libya's rebellious tribes: It's either me or chaos.

Two weeks ago this same man had told me the uprisings in Tunisia and Egypt would never touch Libya. Gaddafi, he said, had a tight lock on all of the major tribes, the same ones that have kept him in power for the past 41 years. The man of course turned out to be wrong, and everything he now has to say about Gaddafi's intentions needs to be taken in that context.

The source went on and told me that Gaddafi's desperation has a lot to with the fact that he now can only count on the loyalty of his tribe, the Qadhadhfa. And as for the army, as of Monday he only has the loyalty of approximately 5,000 troops. They are his elite forces, the officers all handpicked. Among them is the unit commanded by his second youngest son Khamis, the 32nd Brigade. (The total strength of the regular Libyan army is 45,000.)

My Libyan source said that Gaddafi has told people around him that he knows he cannot retake Libya with the forces he has. But what he can do is make the rebellious tribes and army officers regret their disloyalty, turning Libya into another Somalia. "I have the money and arms to fight for a long time," Gaddafi reportedly said.

(Excerpt) Read more at time.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: energy; gadaffi; libya; oil; sabotage

1 posted on 02/22/2011 12:16:52 PM PST by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind
OH!.. blow the pipelines and just get the heck out of Dodge..
Pipelines can be rebuilt (for free) from foreign oil companys..
2 posted on 02/22/2011 12:19:31 PM PST by hosepipe (This propaganda has been edited to include some fully orbed hyperbole....)
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To: SeekAndFind

He might as well, the protesters have already called for it.


3 posted on 02/22/2011 12:22:41 PM PST by cripplecreek (Remember the River Raisin! (look it up))
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To: SeekAndFind

Why wouldn’t he? Saddam did it in ‘91.


4 posted on 02/22/2011 12:25:49 PM PST by edpc (It's Kräusened)
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To: SeekAndFind; Marine_Uncle
Planeloads of mercenaries arrived yesterday...

Reuters report:

Defiant Gaddafi vows to die as martyr, fight revolt

*************************EXCERPT************************************

"I am not going to leave this land, I will die here as a martyr," Gaddafi said on state television, refusing to bow to calls from his own diplomats, soldiers and protesters clamouring in the streets for him to go.

5 posted on 02/22/2011 12:29:17 PM PST by Ernest_at_the_Beach ( Support Geert Wilders)
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To: hosepipe
Saddam Hussein also though he could show the bastard USA who the boss was by torching the Iraqi oil wells. American fire fighting technology put a quick end to that pipe dream.
6 posted on 02/22/2011 12:30:53 PM PST by JPG (As WI goes, so goes the nation. Thank you, Gov Walker.)
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More:

******************************EXCERPT***************************************

TRIPOLI | Tue Feb 22, 2011 3:17pm EST

Tripoli, a Mediterranean coastal city of 2 million, is key to controlling Libya, a mostly desert country of only 7 million.

Refugees streaming across the Libya's eastern border into Egypt said Gaddafi was using tanks, warplanes and foreign mercenaries to fight the growing rebellion.

Eastern Libya is no longer under Gaddafi's control, rebel soldiers in the city of Tobruk told a Reuters reporter there.

Tobruk residents said the city had been in the hands of the people for three days. They said smoke rising above the city was from a munitions depot bombed by troops loyal to one of Gaddafi's sons. There was the occasional explosion.

"All the eastern regions are out of Gaddafi's control ... The people and the army are hand-in-hand here," said the now former army major Hany Saad Marjaa.

The U.N. refugee agency urged Libya's neighbours to grant refuge to those fleeing the unrest.

7 posted on 02/22/2011 12:33:28 PM PST by Ernest_at_the_Beach ( Support Geert Wilders)
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To: SeekAndFind
There's been virtually no reliable information coming out of Tripoli,

Same can be said for TIME for the last 20 years.

8 posted on 02/22/2011 12:39:20 PM PST by capydick (''Life's tough.......it's even tougher if you're stupid.'')
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To: edpc

RE: Why wouldn’t he? Saddam did it in ‘91.

If I remember correctly, the price of oil spiked at that time until the fires were contained.

The capitalist pig in me see a similar opportunity to buy oil ETF’s today.


9 posted on 02/22/2011 1:06:30 PM PST by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

A slightly riskier investment may be found in mediums used to channel the ghost of Red Adair.


10 posted on 02/22/2011 1:12:16 PM PST by edpc (It's Kräusened)
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To: Ernest_at_the_Beach

Things obviously are becoming very nasty in Libya. Sort of like we saw in Iran when they brought in a lot of goon squads from outside their country and paid for inside trouble makers that hate the Shitte. Brutal bastards that is for sure.


11 posted on 02/22/2011 2:42:09 PM PST by Marine_Uncle (Honor must be earned....Duncan Hunter Sr. for POTUS.)
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To: Marine_Uncle

“Brutal bastards that is for sure.”

No lack of those in that part of the world.....


12 posted on 02/22/2011 3:50:49 PM PST by EEDUDE
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To: EEDUDE

I’ll second that statement.


13 posted on 02/22/2011 4:21:02 PM PST by Marine_Uncle (Honor must be earned....Duncan Hunter Sr. for POTUS.)
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To: SeekAndFind

Every cloud has a silver lining.

$5 gas helps nail shut the coffin on Baraq’s 2012 campaign.


14 posted on 02/22/2011 4:29:19 PM PST by nascarnation
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