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To: Clintonfatigued

Farenthold would probably be set if he had a Hispanic surname. As it is, the district has Cook PVI of R+2 and Obama skewed that winning by 7 points in 2008. Bush won by 10 points in 2004, so it seems like a classic swing district. Will that district be affected by redistricting?

NC-08 is also one of those districts that favored Bush both times by 7 and 9 points respectively, but went for Obama by 5. A lot of districts like this went GOP this year Kissell escaped as did Schuler and McIntyre (which are both in slightly stronger leaning R districts than NC-08). Those three will definitely be in the top tier of GOP targets in 2012. Pantano seemed like a credible opponent to McIntyre and is considering another run.

Bass does have a tough district (PVI D+3) and barely squeaked by. His opponent this year, Ann Kuster, is considering another run.

PA-10 is a strong R district so should stay R unless Marino stinks the place up and voters shift again like they did after Sherwood. Politicians in NE PA are notoriously crooked as you know. Marino did not set the world on fire with his fundraising.


3 posted on 12/10/2010 6:00:49 AM PST by randita
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To: randita

TX can help Farenthold but they’ll have to be careful not to reduce the Hispanic % too much and risk judicial alternation.


5 posted on 12/10/2010 6:11:51 AM PST by Impy (Don't call me red.)
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