You are off on two of your predictions.
Casey is really in shabby shape in PA and a TON of union and Lib cash was spent to drag Sestak into a competitive race. ‘12 will even have less money available with Obummer running. If a decent candidate like Toomey is found, he is toast.
Webb is already distancing himself from the party. I really think he will jump ship and become a Repub. Especially if Manchin does. The writing is on the wall for Webbs loss, he will do what he can to stay Senator.
Interesting thought. If some Republicans are happy that the Democrats kept the majority in the Senate because it will make Congress harder for Obama to scapegoat, could four Democrats (or three plus Lieberman) actually agree to switch sides and join the GOP just so Obama can have his whipping boy for 2012?
Granted, extremely far-fetched but I’ve learned to never assume these treacherous Dems will stop short in their quest for ultimate power. Could we see, say, a Manchin-Webb-Nelson-Lieberman flip to hand the Senate over to the GOP for two years just to use them as an issue for Dems to run against in 2012?
How does that make me wrong? I picked PA and VA as pickups.