This thread reminds me of the “Christine can win!” threads prior to Nov 2nd. Joe will not win, sadly.
You’re comparing apples and oranges in comparing this vote count to the Delaware Senate Race. If Al Franken can pull off a victory from a recount of legitimate ballots, you better believe Joe can pull out a victory in a count of Write-in Ballots when the 31,000 absentee ballots haven’t even been counted yet, which should favor him.
You may be right; but, I’m not throwing in the towel until the last vote is counted.
If Joe wins BIG in the Absentee Vote count, his lawyers will fight like Gladiators to prevent his election from being stolen in the Write-in count.
>>>This thread reminds me of the Christine can win! threads prior to Nov 2nd. Joe will not win, sadly.<<<
I live in Alaska, and I have to unfortunately agree. Miller simply did not run a very good campaign, and Murkowski’s campaign was simply brilliant. My home town is predominantly Native, and she got together the Native vote with some strategic backing and speaking at the Alaska Federation of Natives conference just before the election.
Just after the primary, Alaska pollster Dave Dittman said Miller would win because Murkowski would split the Democrat vote with Scott McAdams. Murkowski must have heard this and went out of her way to gather up the Democrat vote for herself.
The only good news is that the Native community will now feel quite comfortable voting Republican in the future.
There is a possibility that Lisa will actually move more to the right in an effort to co-opt the Miller vote. She’s a strategist, not an ideologue (another way of saying she’s a RINO who will sway with the wind... but the wind is currently blowing right).
A secondary possibility has to do with Palin. Sarah upset Lisa’s dad for the governorship, and the Alaska RINO party is no supporter of Palin. In that case, Lisa might have been the right-in candidate out of spite - and she might do the same thing once in power again.
I guess we’ll see. At least Lisa’s better than our prominent other senator, Mark Begich (Socialist-Alaska).
Unfortunately as a Miller volunteer here on the ground in Anchorage who waved quite a few signs for the guy...I have to agree that the numbers are very tough. To get even a huge number of those absentees - let’s say 60% - which is not that likely - that’s just 18,000, and you have to subtract the ones she’ll get - which even at 25% would be 7750 or so.
Then it would require many thousands of the write ins to be bogus - and even if some are for donald duck, and some are misspelled or for other people - you have to realize that Murkowski issued 50,000 BRACELETS for people to wear into the voting booths. The Native corps most likely also called the head of every single village and gave them explicit instructions of how to make sure each person’s write in vote would count. Do you realize in the bush 1 person can write in the votes for everyone else, as long as they have their consent? Also, they had the ability to just walk into the polling place and say “please write in Murkowski for me”.
She won because of the bush, plain and simple.
Now I certainly hope Joe pulls a rabbit out of a hat here - after all, the guy still owes me a cool photo op with my 2 toddlers :)
I believe Lord, help my unbelief