Posted on 10/25/2010 1:42:03 PM PDT by Qbert
A new Public Policy Polling poll shows Democratic Gov. Joe Manchin ahead of Republican senate candidate John Raese, 50 percent to 44 percent.
Manchins ratings for his job performance as governor continues to be high, with 69 percent approving. President Obama continues to have very low ratings, with only 31 percent approving of him.
The reason this race has remained close despite Manchins overwhelming popularity is that for the folks who both like Manchin and dislike Obama, accounting for 37 percent of voters in the state, the feelings toward Obama have been more influential in how they plan to vote. In early October Manchin trailed 59-34 with that group. Now though, as hes emphasized his conservative credentials on the campaign trail, Manchin is facing only a 51-43 deficit with that segment of the electorate, said PPPs Tom Jensen in a statement.
Jensen also pointed out that Raeses unfavorability ratings have risen from 35 percent to 47 percent. He is viewed favorably by 42 percent.
And while Raese may be falling behind, 52 percent of voters hope that Republicans will control the next congress. Fifty-five percent think that the national Democratic party is too liberal, while 19 percent think the same of the GOP. Thirty-two percent of voters think the Democratic party is neither too liberal nor too conservative, a sentiment shared by 42 percent about the Republican party.
And while 39 percent would prefer Manchin as senator, 48 percent like him better as governor.
In recent weeks, Manchin has aggressively positioned himself to the right, coming out in favor of a partial repeal of President Obamas health-care bill, after supporting passing it this March, talking about how he would never support cap-and-trade, and most recently, in interviews with Politics Daily, refusing to definitively endorse Sen. Harry Reid for senate majority leader or President Obama for 2012.
In general when they (PPP) release a poll on the same day as another polling organization, inevitably the are 4% more Dem than the other poll. I did a survey of PPP polls vs Rasmussen, Quinnipiac, Survey USA, etc, and that is what I found. If they knew about O’Donnell’s primary win, it is only because the survey was Republicans only...
“Given that Democrats hold an almost 2 to 1 edge in voter registration in WV, and given the GOP has almost no effective local organization to carry out GOTV campaigns, I think Freepers, including myself, have been a bit over optimistic on this one...”
You’ve bashed Raese and his chances in lots of previous threads...not credible.
And at any rate, even if Manchin loses, he still is where he’s wanted the most...
I think I figured that Delaware poll out. Think about it. The Democrats wanted O’Donnell to win, so PPP released an honest poll on her. It worked for them. If they had wanted Castle to win, you would have never seen that poll.
Nothing is in the bag for anyone this year. All politics is local, and any race can become local even this year. We'll do very well, but there will be dark blots, whether due to fraud, weak patriotic candidates, or bad luck.
This country can not afford a less than stellar performance against the Democrats. The situation is too dire.
http://www.gallup.com/poll/124010/generic-ballot-provides-clues-2010-vote.aspx
You said it. PPP=PushPollProgressives!!
Ras has places where he is good and places where he is bad. His polling data is best in states with low minority populations like West Virginia. For some reasons, blacks tend not to take robo polls. So I would trust his numbers most in places like WV but be a bit more skeptical in other states that aren’t as homogeneous.
Recall also that a few days before the primary, PPP had data on how Christine would fare against Coons. They deliberately withheld it till the day after the primary.
This is entirely consistent with your hunch that they wanted Christine as the primary winner.
This PPP outfit thinks it clever .
It peddles these wildly pro Dem polls meant to manipulate the voters and then at the last minute will push out a more accurate poll the day of the election .
Its a scam.
Come on, West Virginia, you were doing so well... don`t regress. Manchin will be on his knees kissing 0bama`s ring inside of his first week in office!
So true. I live in NJ and I remember Quinnipiac doing just that in the Governor’s race last year. A week before the election, Quinnipiac came out with a poll showing Corzine leading Christie by 5 points. At the end they said they would be doing one more poll on the race. The day before the election the final poll came out. Christie lead Corzine by 2. Just by looking at the crosstabs you could tell that Quinnipiac manipulated them to save face. Christie went on to win by 4.
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