It will be released soon. Key things Christine has going for her.
-Republicans still reluctant to vote for her will likely come home on election day. They almost always do. Some may stay at home but will they show up and vote for an Obama Democrat? Probably not.
—The one thing that should be noted is Obama is still not fairing well in Delaware with his approval/disapproval nearly tied or underwater depending on the poll. People in Delaware still support repealing Obamacare and support immigration enforcement ala the Arizona law and oppose Cap and Trade.
—Will Democrat vote be as high as in 2006 or 2008? No. Most of the polls showing Christine down by double digits have captured samples that have a larger percentage of Democrats or a smaller percentage of Republicans. I suspect many Democrats are actually shifting to the independent category this election year.
—I think Christine has some appeal across party lines. Rasmussen internals in the latest poll show her getting 14% of Democrat vote and tied with independents. Her GOP vote is 73% on election day I expect that to exceed 80%. She has improved in all categories in the latest polling over her previous poll plus she still has plenty of conservative vote to harvest which is at 75% up from 69% in the previous poll. She will get more than 90% of self identified conservatives in the end.
I think election night is going to be a nail biter with Christine having an early lead.
At the same time your typical voter knows that neither subject is all that frequently debated in the US Senate, nor is there very much legislation about that sort of thing either.
Taxes ~ they know taxes ~ and bankruptcy ~ and little smart mouthed jerks who do county executive jobs.
Yup, when it comes to issues the voters will vote on the issues, and where the candidate doesn't match those issues, he's out!
BTW, if the election really were about masturbation I suspect Chris Coons would win ~ hands down eh!
It sounds like you’ve seen the poll.
Who is the pollster?
Or, just say if it is or isn’t TCJ - since you’ve seen some details.
If this was a “real” poll, and not TCJ, which is not talked about in the media at all ever, this would be either a big news story or a huge news story. The tea party express polls are an outlier, falling somewhere between TCJ and mainstream pollsters.
If it was Rasmussen, the story is big, Christine cuts the gap in half.
If it was another firm, PPP or any of the others that have done the race already, it’s huge, because all of those pollsters had it in the high teens. To go from 19 to 6, is huge.
If it were Tea Party Express’s polls, those are in a grey area. TPE was in Delaware polling for the primary, when no one else was, and they did get it right. I believe they were right in Alaska for the primary. So, if I see it’s a TPE poll, I personally will feel that that’s where we actually are at, but I’m not sure how much the poll numbers will influence the race.