Posted on 10/18/2010 12:18:38 PM PDT by Tennessean4Bush
Election Day is just two weeks away, and Republican candidates hold a nine-point lead over Democrats on the Generic Congressional Ballot for the week ending Sunday, October 17, 2010.
Forty-eight percent (48%) of respondents say they would vote for their districts Republican congressional candidate, while 39% would opt for his or her Democratic opponent.
Even more worrisome for Democrats, however, is the finding that among the voters who are most closely following the midterm elections Republicans hold a 55% to 36% lead.
While the margin has varied somewhat from week-to-week, Republicans have been consistently ahead on the Generic Ballot for over a year, and their lead has run as high as 12 points and as low as three points. When Barack Obama first took office as president of the United States, the Democrats enjoyed a seven-point lead on the Generic Ballot.
Among voters not affiliated with either major party, Republicans hold a 17-point lead.
"Eleventy-one!"
I would love to see that.
All over the map.Ras or Gallup?
My original prediction last February was 80 House seats, 14 Senate. While my Senate number looks high now, I’m not sure that my House number was all that off base.
I would love to see that.I am going to buy a few bottles of champagne and put them in the fridge for a chill on election night. I will be working plenty hard between now and then supporting candidates, but I plan on doing some celebrating.
Twice!
Obviously disastrous for dems. Even advanced voter fraud will not help this kind of split.
“My original prediction last February was 80 House seats, 14 Senate. While my Senate number looks high now, Im not sure that my House number was all that off base.”
Realize that the Senate race started with 19 Democrats and 18 Republicans. For Republicans to gain 14 seats they would have to win 32 seats to 5 for the Democrats. I don’t think there’s ever been a party that dominated a Senate election that badly.
To understand how one-sided that would be, if Republicans won all three sets of Senate seats by the the same ratio, they’d win either 86 or 87 Senate seats.
While my Senate number looks high nowYou may end up closer to that than you think. Fiorina will beat Boxer, Rossi will beat Murray, Angle will beat Reid, McMahon will beat Blumenthal, Johnson over Feingold, Kirk over the mafioso, Buck over Bennet, Paul over Conway, Rubio over Crist/Meeks, Miller over Murkowski/whomever, Toomey over Sestak. This will be a wave. Any Pub within 3-5 points will win, and Pub within 7-9 will be close and might eke it out.
Nope, too far gone.
Early in the weekend, there were dire predictions of a major RAT comeback, and now, things seem to be even worse for them.
We will know two weeks from Wednesday.
Republicans pick up 111 seats in the House and 12 in the Senate.I'll drink to that!
Ras. I thought that there was a tightening just a week ago.Three weeks ago he reported an outlier. He has reported one every four to six weeks, other than that it is pretty consistently been 6-12 point lead.
I think the midterm elections are going to surprise plenty in the establishment. They have only begun to grasp the anger that is out there. People I know are crawling out of their skin to go vote. Not only will there be a wipeout in the House and Senate, all the state and local elections will be swept away. Reapportionment will be a you-know-what for dems.
If you want to kill the king (American Republic), you need to kill him... not injure him. The 'rats have injured, severely I might add, the legitimate electorate, and 11/2 is pay-day for the injured to take it out on the evil doers.
Among voters not affiliated with either major party, Republicans hold a 17-point lead.”
hoo rah
No, it's a 19 point spread among those most closely following the elections. It's a nine point spread among those most likely to vote. (Ras only reports results among likely voters - in contrast to some of the other pollsters.) The two categories aren't quite the same.
I guess now they mean the jackasses reign
Fort Macy Park
Fort Macy ParkWhew! I thought for a second you had said Fort Marcy Park.
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