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Generic Congressional Ballot: Republicans 48%, Democrats 39%
Rasmussen Reports ^ | 10/18/2010 | Scott Rasmussen

Posted on 10/18/2010 12:18:38 PM PDT by Tennessean4Bush

Election Day is just two weeks away, and Republican candidates hold a nine-point lead over Democrats on the Generic Congressional Ballot for the week ending Sunday, October 17, 2010.

Forty-eight percent (48%) of respondents say they would vote for their district’s Republican congressional candidate, while 39% would opt for his or her Democratic opponent.

Even more worrisome for Democrats, however, is the finding that among the voters who are most closely following the midterm elections Republicans hold a 55% to 36% lead. 

While the margin has varied somewhat from week-to-week, Republicans have been consistently ahead on the Generic Ballot for over a year, and their lead has run as high as 12 points and as low as three points. When Barack Obama first took office as president of the United States, the Democrats enjoyed a seven-point lead on the Generic Ballot. 

Among voters not affiliated with either major party, Republicans hold a 17-point lead.


TOPICS: Breaking News; Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: genericballot; rasmussen
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To: MIchaelTArchangel
Republicans pick up 111 seats in the House and 12 in the Senate.

"Eleventy-one!"

I would love to see that.

21 posted on 10/18/2010 12:49:11 PM PDT by Disambiguator
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To: Redleg Duke
All over the map.
Ras or Gallup?
22 posted on 10/18/2010 12:49:29 PM PDT by Tennessean4Bush (An optimist believes we live in the best of all possible worlds. A pessimist fears this is true.)
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To: MIchaelTArchangel

My original prediction last February was 80 House seats, 14 Senate. While my Senate number looks high now, I’m not sure that my House number was all that off base.


23 posted on 10/18/2010 12:51:37 PM PDT by rushmom
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To: Disambiguator
I would love to see that.
I am going to buy a few bottles of champagne and put them in the fridge for a chill on election night. I will be working plenty hard between now and then supporting candidates, but I plan on doing some celebrating.
24 posted on 10/18/2010 12:51:52 PM PDT by Tennessean4Bush (An optimist believes we live in the best of all possible worlds. A pessimist fears this is true.)
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To: Genoa

Twice!


25 posted on 10/18/2010 12:52:27 PM PDT by tatown (Obama is Kenyan for "I make love to a woman that looks like Patrick Ewing")
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To: Tennessean4Bush

Obviously disastrous for dems. Even advanced voter fraud will not help this kind of split.


26 posted on 10/18/2010 12:53:21 PM PDT by Oldpuppymax
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To: rushmom

“My original prediction last February was 80 House seats, 14 Senate. While my Senate number looks high now, I’m not sure that my House number was all that off base.”

Realize that the Senate race started with 19 Democrats and 18 Republicans. For Republicans to gain 14 seats they would have to win 32 seats to 5 for the Democrats. I don’t think there’s ever been a party that dominated a Senate election that badly.

To understand how one-sided that would be, if Republicans won all three sets of Senate seats by the the same ratio, they’d win either 86 or 87 Senate seats.


27 posted on 10/18/2010 1:05:19 PM PDT by Moral Hazard
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To: rushmom
While my Senate number looks high now
You may end up closer to that than you think. Fiorina will beat Boxer, Rossi will beat Murray, Angle will beat Reid, McMahon will beat Blumenthal, Johnson over Feingold, Kirk over the mafioso, Buck over Bennet, Paul over Conway, Rubio over Crist/Meeks, Miller over Murkowski/whomever, Toomey over Sestak. This will be a wave. Any Pub within 3-5 points will win, and Pub within 7-9 will be close and might eke it out.
28 posted on 10/18/2010 1:06:44 PM PDT by Tennessean4Bush (An optimist believes we live in the best of all possible worlds. A pessimist fears this is true.)
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To: Oldpuppymax
Obviously disastrous for dems. Even advanced voter fraud will not help this kind of split.

Nope, too far gone.

29 posted on 10/18/2010 1:08:15 PM PDT by Tennessean4Bush (An optimist believes we live in the best of all possible worlds. A pessimist fears this is true.)
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To: Tennessean4Bush
Ras. I thought that there was a tightening just a week ago.

Early in the weekend, there were dire predictions of a major RAT comeback, and now, things seem to be even worse for them.

We will know two weeks from Wednesday.

30 posted on 10/18/2010 1:08:50 PM PDT by Redleg Duke (RAT Hunting Season started the evening of March 21st, 2010!)
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To: MIchaelTArchangel
Republicans pick up 111 seats in the House and 12 in the Senate.
I'll drink to that!
31 posted on 10/18/2010 1:10:55 PM PDT by Tennessean4Bush (An optimist believes we live in the best of all possible worlds. A pessimist fears this is true.)
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To: Tennessean4Bush
I'd like to see the Republicans pick up at least 131 House seats, breaking the all-time high midterm turnover of the 1894 election.
32 posted on 10/18/2010 1:12:35 PM PDT by meadsjn (Sarah 2012, or sooner)
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To: Redleg Duke
Ras. I thought that there was a tightening just a week ago.
Three weeks ago he reported an outlier. He has reported one every four to six weeks, other than that it is pretty consistently been 6-12 point lead.
33 posted on 10/18/2010 1:12:50 PM PDT by Tennessean4Bush (An optimist believes we live in the best of all possible worlds. A pessimist fears this is true.)
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To: DesScorp
If it’s really that high, then that means that the GOP will pick up even more seats than the pundits are forecasting.

I think the midterm elections are going to surprise plenty in the establishment. They have only begun to grasp the anger that is out there. People I know are crawling out of their skin to go vote. Not only will there be a wipeout in the House and Senate, all the state and local elections will be swept away. Reapportionment will be a you-know-what for dems.

34 posted on 10/18/2010 1:16:21 PM PDT by Tennessean4Bush (An optimist believes we live in the best of all possible worlds. A pessimist fears this is true.)
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To: fortheDeclaration
The arrogance which this administration and Congress governed over the last three years, like a third world nation, has angered the American People to an extent not seen in decades.

If you want to kill the king (American Republic), you need to kill him... not injure him. The 'rats have injured, severely I might add, the legitimate electorate, and 11/2 is pay-day for the injured to take it out on the evil doers.

35 posted on 10/18/2010 1:16:55 PM PDT by C210N (0bama, Making the world safe for Marxism)
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To: Tennessean4Bush

Among voters not affiliated with either major party, Republicans hold a 17-point lead.”

hoo rah


36 posted on 10/18/2010 1:17:30 PM PDT by ConservativeDude
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To: GonzoGOP
A 19 point spread among those most likely to vote...

No, it's a 19 point spread among those most closely following the elections. It's a nine point spread among those most likely to vote. (Ras only reports results among likely voters - in contrast to some of the other pollsters.) The two categories aren't quite the same.

37 posted on 10/18/2010 1:18:01 PM PDT by justiceseeker93
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To: kingattax

I guess now they mean the jackasses reign


38 posted on 10/18/2010 1:27:00 PM PDT by italianquaker ( teabag the vote!!)
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To: Tennessean4Bush
It will be interesting to see where Gallup is later this afternoon.

Fort Macy Park

39 posted on 10/18/2010 1:51:09 PM PDT by spokeshave (Islamics and Democrats unite to cut off Adam Smith's invisible hand)
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To: spokeshave
Fort Macy Park
Whew! I thought for a second you had said Fort Marcy Park.
40 posted on 10/18/2010 1:54:32 PM PDT by Tennessean4Bush (An optimist believes we live in the best of all possible worlds. A pessimist fears this is true.)
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