Personally, I think she can still win. But, just imagine the election results -- after the NRSC does nothing to help her -- if she loses by less than 5%. What will the party say? "See, we were right?" I think they will look very bad.
I hope the party has no expectations that Republican voters will always support Republican candidates. The lesson that Karl Rove is teaching me is that if you see a Republican in your district who doesn't "measure up", then you should ignore them, send them no money, and just not go to the polls for them. Is that the message they want to send?
'Cause if Mitt Romney is the Republican nominee in 2012 ... well ...