I sat and watched Rasmussen one day on Fox news. He said that polls are seldom taken during primaries as the electorate is at its most fluid. Singular campaigns will run little polls but you won’t see them much. More important, said the Rasmussen guy, polls are more accurate when they are done on a rolling average bases, like every day, with the oldest one dropped and the latest three averaged together...like that. This kind of polling is never done during primaries.
BUT....the Tea Party Express says it took a poll, this was a couple of weeks ago and they’ve since dropped big bucks on this campaign. IF we are to believe it....and caution as these people have a stake in the poll but I doubt they’d have sunk money based on a lie, O’Donnell was within four points of “likely” voters. She was within two points of “most likely” voters....such descriptions the stuff of poll takers I must assume.
That is the only poll quoted though Rasmussen’s been reporting a poll they allegedly undertook of Christine against this Chris Coons. This was over a month ago and it is reported that Christine came in 9 points behind Coons in the general election while Castle polled beating Coons by 2 points.
The Ruling Class Blue Bloods love to quote this poll. They scratch their fleas and howl that Christine can’t beat Coons, that by voting against Castle you’re effectively electing a Democrat.
As if a vote for Castle isn’t the same thing as a vote for a Democrat....let me insert editorial here.
Lookit, Christine can beat Chris Coons. First Coons increased New Castle county property taxes by 15%. He’s done nothing but raise taxes and made all those people furious at him.
More important....Christine beats mighty Mike Castle....she’s got instant name recognition. The ladies on the View will coo and ahhh and awww. She’ll be on Meet the Depressed. Christine is attractive. She’s also very well spoken and knows her politics. Christine was once a political pundit for Fox News did you know?
She presents very well and she’ll be the darling of the country. The media might turn on her like they did Sarah Palin but how’s that working out for Sarah?
Anybody thinks midget despised Chris Coons can beat O’Donnell once she triumphs over one of Delaware’s most entrenched....
....I got a bridge to sell cheap. Just been renovated.
My guess,and its not as good as yours, you are on the scene,is that she will win and it will be close.