Heh----nice insight.
Slumlord Jarrett and the WH mobsters musta all loaded up on property. Oprah, too.
Daley snoozes as the happy campers fly to Copenhagen to nail down the Olympics......so they thought.
Posted on 09/07/2010 9:38:19 PM PDT by Libloather
Mrs. Daley has had a set back in her eight year battle with cancer, though I don’t think that’s the full story. IMO, he was likely forced out, (family pension fund deals?. And who is holding all that worthless real estate snatched up before the failed Olympic bid?)
RE wants out of the WH, and always aspired to be mayor, (ironically, so did BHO.)
Axelrod sets the stage ...
Rahm has the President’s Blessing, and the Personality to Make it as Chicago Mayor
Heh----nice insight.
Slumlord Jarrett and the WH mobsters musta all loaded up on property. Oprah, too.
Daley snoozes as the happy campers fly to Copenhagen to nail down the Olympics......so they thought.
The mayor’s race will happen without party labels, and the winner has to have 50% plus 1 votes to win. Since there will probably be a plethora of people on the first ballot, it’s likely that the race will go into run-off with the top two vote getters.
http://blogs.suntimes.com/sweet/2010/09/rahm_emanuel_hits_chicago_this.html
Rahm Emanuel hits Chicago this weekend: Will he run for mayor?
Ah, thank you for the info.
Anyone but Rahm!
UGH. I so want him to lose.
won’t be long before we’re seeing pictures of daley with that bushesque caption: “miss me yet?”
Hey mayor. Good to see you again. Can we talk.
Chifago desperately needs a Republican who understands reality. Daley has been part of the aristocratic elite of Chicago since the day he was born.
A Chicago Kennedy, if you will.
Losing the Olympics was probably his last hurrah. Daley has the city sewn up and would win another term easily in 2011, but he can see the drawbacks far outweight the advantages of sticking around another four years. His guy Obama is now damaged goods, there's going to be a RAT bloodbath in November and Brady is set to be the next Governor. Throughout his entire tenure as mayor, Daley's NEVER had to deal with a non-combiner in the Governor's chair who won't play ball. (Even "good government" downstater Edgar tended to turn a blind eye and appese the machine). Brady's a independent conservative downstater and doesn't give a flying f--- what the Chicago machine wants -- his whole campaign theme is a clean break from Chicago area politicians dominating Illinois politics.
Plus you can factor in that Mrs. Daley has been sick, Patrick Fitzgerald has put the most prominent Daley combiner allies behind bars, Emil Jones is retired, his son Kevin Daley is a DINO and thus can't be heir apprent, Daley managed to serve one more term than his better known daddy (thus finally stepping out of daddy's shadow and overcoming jokes about he isn't "the REAL Mayor Daley") and the writing is on the wall with the economic recession about to send Chicago's budget into a nosedive. A seventh term would be hell for Daley, and he knows it.
>> Last open seat for the Mayoralty, 1947. Ed Kelly was the last Mayor to voluntarily step down. (doesn’t sound like he wanted to though) I realize I know nothing at all about the mayors between Anton Cermak and Daley Sr. <<
I thought Kennelly beat Kelly for the RAT nomination? The Nash-Kelly regime of the Chicago machine was getting exposed for corruption so they had to dump him. Perhaps they purged Kelly behind the scenes and "convinced" him to retire? I don't remember the exact details from my Illinois history class in college but I could have sworn Kelly ran again and went down. Oh well.
>> No Republican has run since 1995, the last election that was officially partisan. <<
Interestingly enough, I just spoke with that Republican this morning. It was Ray Wardingley who won the GOP nomination in an upset. (The media derides him as "Spanky the clown", nevermind the fact that he did the "clown act" for a living, only as a chariety event to raise money for sick kids with leukeium. Oh well since when did the facts matter to the MSM?) Since then the RATs got tired of dealing with pesky Republicans and now we have "nonpartisan" elections in Chicago where a general election between two candidates only occurs if no candidate gets over 50% in the first round. Lots of RAT vs. RAT general elections. And Ray Wardingley's on the ballot yet again this year, running against Bobby Rush for Congress. Gotta love Ray, puts his name on the ballot in super RAT districts so us Crook County Republicans have a real choice.
>> Rahm? JJJr? Luis G? Out of those 3 I’d actually have to prefer JJJr. Barf. <<
My money's still on a Hispanic mayor to succeed Daley, probably Guiterrez as he's the most prominent hispanic RAT in Chicago, aside from the uninspiring (though elected citywide) city clerk, Miguel del Valle. But del Valle is a Daley puppet, the Chicago voters will probably want "change" after Daley. ::sigh::
JJJ is damaged goods after the Blago scandal, Rahm would love to be mayor but I think the voters would feel otherwise. My guess is we'll see about 20 or so prominent RATs that aren't tied up in a 2010 campaign jump to file to be in the Feb. 2011 election (they're probably out in droves getting the paperwork together right now), but when the dust settles there will probably be about 3 or 4 RATs left with a viable campaign -- and their base will probably be along ethnic lines (black, hispanic, polish, irish, etc.)
The black and white populations of the city have strunk, the moment is with the hispanics. The media would wet their pants in excitement over the thought of the "first hispanic mayor" and turn him into a superstar ala they did Obama in 2008, proclaiming it's hispanics "turn" to have a mayor of their own. Alot of the hispanic population doesn't vote or is ineglibile to do so, but the media just needs to con enough voters in other demographics to switch sides in order to give their guy a plurality in a four-way race.
I won't have any say in it though, I'm in suburban Cook. My mayor ain't Daley, though you sure wouldn't notice since we Cook Co. suburbanites are only "allowed" to have Chicago RATs represent us. ;-p
I agree after a few months of the "new" RAT, we'll probably have Bushesque "Miss Me Yet?" signs for Daley. On the plus side, whatever sucky marxist is in the mayor's office will have considerably less influence statewide.
- Some blog is suggesting conservatives "draft" Adam Andrejewski for mayor. Huh? He doesn't live in Chicago. He lives in Hinsdale. It's not only far away from city lines, most of Hinsdale isn't even in Cook County! Ditto with "drafting" John Arrington for Mayor (the black conservative who ran against Kirk for Senate). He lives in Harvey and was an alderman there, not Chicago.
- The lone Republican on the Chicago City Council is Alderman Brian Doherty. I googled him and found out just today that he's the GOP nominee for State Senate (given the current election climate, he'll probably win and be the first Republican state senator from a prodomently Chicago district in about 8 years or so). In theory he could still run for Mayor in 2011 (standing for election a month after getting sworn in as Senator), but don't bet on it. The 41st ward is heavily Republican, it voted for Bush. Winning there doesn't mean he'll have appeal in the other 49 wards.
- An important factor to remember is that Joe Berrios has been chairman of the Cook County Democrat Party since 2007 (he's a completely crooked combiner who was unanimously elected party boss and is currently on the Cook Co. Board of Review and running for county assessor). Berrios is the first hispanic to hold that post, another reason why I think a hispanic will be mayor (remember Daley Sr. was first elected chairman of the Cook County RATs in '53 before he was nominated for Mayor in '55)
No, Kelly did step down in favor of Kennelly, although he was essentially "urged" to do so by the local county Dems. This was on the heels of the GOP gains of 1946 and the concern they'd lose if Kelly was renominated (had Kelly won again, he'd have died during that term). I think personally that Little Richie doesn't want to meet the same fate as his dad, who spent his last term in open warfare with Gov. Dan Walker and various elements of his coalition starting to crack, which likely hastened his death in office in '76. Better to retire "on top" (so to speak) and enjoy the golden years with the family.
If it has to be a Dem, then St Sen Meeks.
If a Republican runs, it has to be someone who already has name recognition and access to money. Ron Gidwitz comes to mind. He and meeks could agree and lead the way on education choice. Without a doubt, education should be the issue. Without an educated workforce kiss jobs goodbye.
Of course an educated workforce would mean educated voters, which most Chicago politicians and community leaders don’t want.
About three months ago, I emailed John Cox and Dan Proft, and I asked them to run for mayor. Neither of them responded.
I had no idea Doherty was running for State Senate, should be a good pickup opportunity. He can do so without risking his current gig. And could run for Mayor without risking his Senator status if he wins that but I also doubt he’d be interested.
He mostly votes with Daley on the council, like on the parking meter privatization, he’s taken heat for that.
Yes the last GOP Senator from Chicago was Walter Dudycz. In 2002 he retired and I guess his seat was essentially eliminated/rejiggered. The district of sole Chicago GOP House member Michael McAuliffe was 1 of the 2 in Dudycz’s seat, now it’s in the retiring rat De Leo’s seat. Or should I say retired rat. It appears he resigned and the rat nominee for the seat, John Mulroe, was appointed to replace him.
If there is a Hispanic mayor I hope it’s not my Congressman Luis Gutierrez. In my opinion he’s the most liberal member of the delegation and a jerkass.
Gery Chico has been mentioned. His wife is a Republican. A pity she hasn’t turned him from the dark side. So many liberal wives are terrible influences on their more conservative husbands, I’d love to see the reverse in effect.
As bad as Daley is it could and now probably will be worse.
For possible Republican candidates
Ron Gidwitz is from the city. He’s currently Chair of Bill Brady’s campaign.
Proft I think lives in the city.
John Cox, bad idea I’d say, he’d get 2% of the vote. And he’s still suburban afaik.
Too bad Mark Kirk isn’t from the city as many people seem to think (”He has to be liberal in his HEAVILY DEMOCRAT district.”). ;)
State Rep. Michael McAuliffe might be an even stronger choice for mayor. He, Doherty, and County Commissioner Silverti share the same office space and distingustion of being the "lone elected Chicago Republican" in their respective offices. McAuliffe represent's Doherty's ward in springfield, plus portions of three other wards that are majority RAT (unlike the 41st) and a tiny bit of suburbia. The RATs tried to eliminate during re-districting by putting him in the same district with Chicago's longest serving Dem Rep, Ralph Capperelli. (guess having 59 out of 60 Chicago districts wasn't enough for them, they wanted all 60). But McAuliffe handily beat Capperilli. He's about a 75% conservative guy. Little too cozy with big government spending and handouts to be the ideal guy, but far better than a RAT. He also has a "B" rating from the NRA in a city where everyone else has Ds and Fs
State Sen. Meeks is conservative on a handful of social issues (mainly abortion, traditional marriage, and school vouchers) but a hard-left marxist on everything else. I never trusted him since he's Jesse Jack@$$'s right hand man. Also, he put on the farce of being "Independent" of the two parties to get himself elected Senator, then quickly switched to the RAT party (and voted with them when needed on all major bills) once he had dispatched the official Democrat. Shades of a future Mark Kirk? Though I will have to begrugenly admit he's probably the most "conservative" Dem we could hope for as Mayor. Too bad the Mayor's office has very little influence on social issues like abortion.
I agree John Cox would probably earn about 2% of the vote citywide, even after throwing away several million on his campaign. Cox keeps coming in a distant last place and has proven he can't attract voters in election after election. I love Dan Proft, but I can't see him doing much better. His image is a GOP partisan pitbull. That's absolutely the worse style to have for a Chicago race. I'm not saying we need a Kirk style RINO, but a charmastic conservative who seems "above" party politics would probably fair the best in Chicago, where they react to the word "Republican" like Superman does to kyponite.
Gidwitz would be ideal -- solid resume, lots of money, right-of-center, well liked by both parties -- but the huge factor where he's lacking is personality. The guy has none. His candidacy puts people to sleep, that's why we came in last place in the 2006 GOP governor's primary despite having the most effective anti-Topinka ads and being acceptable to "moderates"
Now that I think about, the person most likely to get elected if he publicly came out as a Republican is none other than Mayor Daley's son. The guy is already a DINO who voted for Bush for President and not only supported the Iraq War, but enlisted to show his support (touche, Michael Moore). Of course the issue here is the fact that a Daley family would never, EVER switch his party affliation to Republican, especially the Mayor's son. They'd disown him. That's a crime worse than treason in Chicago's version of the Kennedy clan.
John Cox isn’t suburban. My P.R. company worked for his 2008 presidential campaign, so I know that his address is 53 W. Erie St., Chicago. I think that he would get 20%-25%. Since the race will have about five candidates, that could be enough to advance to the run-off.
BB,
You forget that as you’ve said before, the Daley family has a history of party switching when convenient when it benefitted them.
If Meeks runs, the Pubbies should back him, IMO. If Meeks doesn’t run, the Republicans could use the candidate to build the organization that is lacking so that they take a couple aldermanic seats and have more strength in 2012 countywide and statewide races. So then the question is which candidate for mayor would be best to advance the team? Gidwitz has that ability. If the Republicans can find attractive, articulate candidates for alderman then Gidwitz can stand behind them and let them speak. He won’t win. But the team will win a couple and build for next year.
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