How can Obama, who is sinking like a stone in approval ratings, be a lock for two terms, unless, either, amnesty for illegal immigrants does happen and they, also, actually do turn out to vote, the November ‘12 election is really cancelled for any possible number of reasons, and/or the left successfully cheats their way to political victory?
He can be a lock in 2012 if Palin is the GOP candidate. The left’s campaign against her has been extremely successful, and she hasn’t done herself any favors to prove her abilities are any better than Obama’s.
I don’t believe a candidate has to share everyone of my beliefs to be a good president - Newt may not have what everyone wants, but I believe he is more qualified than Palin by a long shot and could run circles around Obama in a debate or in the presidency.
Well first, unless the economy improves in a very substantive way between now and Oct. 2012, the Easter Bunny could beat Obama (probably). But, there are some specific demographics challenges Palin needs to over come, somehow, if she wants to unseat Obama, absent some kind of additional economic meltdown.
Latinos are problematic. She polls even worse than McCain with Latinos. They hate her. Obama would move from 72% Latino support, to something approaching his black support, 95%. George Bush did almost 18 points better with Latinos than McCain did. And, they'll be an even bigger percentage of the electorate in 2012.
Young people. They hate her too. Unless the next GOP nominee can cut into the youth vote enjoyed by Obama, it makes it that much more difficult to beat him.
And women. For whatever reason, Palin under-performs with women across the general electorate. Even in this poll - polling Republicans - her percentage of support is the same amongst men & women - 17%. You would think the female candidate would do much better with Republican women, and women in general. But, she doesn't.