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Chinese inflation might be out of control
Fortune ^ | May 19, 2010 | Daryl Jones

Posted on 05/19/2010 5:27:16 AM PDT by C19fan

One of the most popular debates in global macro circles currently relates to China and whether its economy is in a bubble. One the side of the bubble callers is one of the more successful short sellers of our generation, James Chanos. Admittedly, Chanos is usually on the right side of these big calls and, for the time being, I'm not going to debate him. Great Chinese bubble debate aside for now, how does Chanos's theory hold up in light of the data we've been reviewing?

Data from various sources within China that we've seen over the past few weeks has pointed us directly towards one simple conclusion: China is experiencing serious inflation. Some of the keys for us include:

(Excerpt) Read more at money.cnn.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy
KEYWORDS: china; inflation
One of the major factors driving up China's money supply is the intentional undervaluation of the Yuan (Renminbi) vs. the US dollar. China is forced to continually buy US dollars increasing the supply of Yuan. This inflation is a real appreciation of the Yuan. One tool China can use is to revalue the Yuan although one side affect is China will be cutting Zero's credit card.
1 posted on 05/19/2010 5:27:16 AM PDT by C19fan
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To: C19fan

“Unexpected”.


2 posted on 05/19/2010 5:32:47 AM PDT by Oldeconomybuyer (The problem with socialism is that you eventually run out of other people's money.)
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Comment #3 Removed by Moderator

To: C19fan

I’ve been saying for a year that the Chinese (read “emerging markets”) economy is a bubble, a complete illusion.

At its core, how can you trust any economic indicators from a government that murders its own citizens.

Also, evidence has it that China built many 50-story buildings, which are now unoccupied, except for the bottom floors, which have been taken up by ex-farmers who are squatting in them, unable to find work.

They built many highways, which are not being used.

Many homes were bought at bubble-prices, encouraged and backed by the government.

China’s electricity usage is in the tank, strange for a strong economy.

In short, the “emerging market” pumpers (e.g., Jim Rogers) had a vested interest in Asia replacing America as the next economic hot-spot. They had no problem abandoning America and moving to Singapore.

Well, I wish all those fair-weather patriots great hardship.


4 posted on 05/19/2010 5:36:58 AM PDT by Ghost of Philip Marlowe (Prepare for survival.)
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