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That didn't take long.. and is ahead of the loop.. this makes a possible bottom of perhaps a point or two more lower before the upswing. It is possible the next peak will not get higher than -13 now which is what I expected before.. but depending on how low this trough is you can take that from the next peak.

Chalk this up to the AT&T announcement for which they drew Congressional fire and the growing Dr. shortage story line. If Conservatives pound the Dr. shortage as an inevitable consequence of what the Dems have done, which is is, more points will be scored. Also, the $2000/year Extended Care Tax has surprised the independents who thought they were going to get money for free.

Color the Democrats horrified. Nancy's, Harry's and Obama's promises that the public will love Obamacare once it is passed have fallen flat.

Ultimately this poll hits a wall of the committed leftist radicals who are still pragmatic enough to see this guy as their ride. He loses some from the far left when he doesn't look like he is winning and they will depart again if this seems to be the case and this is why the Administration is talking big plans now that they squeeked this horror through, but this is just another lie.. soon to be exposed. The recess appointments show just how weak Obama is right now with the Senate and Congress as a whole. Nevertheless, the wall is around -23 and will not change unless Obama is defeated in some other signature legislation push, which is why he gave everything to see Obamacare through.

I am sure you are wondering about why -23. That is the max variation we have already seen.. the lowest low in strong approval and the highest high in strong disapproval. These have not occured on the same day yet.

>> I am sure you are wondering about why -23. That is the max variation we have already seen <<

Yep, and it would seem to be a significant “support level,” as a stock market chartist might say.

Ten days ago, the underlying, “true” value of the Index looked to be about -17 or -18. And the margin of error (as that term is commonly used by pollsters, namely, the two-sigma level) looked to be about plus-or-minus seven points.

So with those parameters, the value of -23 was just barely within an expected margin of error.

Bottom Line:

I agree that a move below -23 would definitely confirm the collapse of Big Ø’s recent post-Ramthru bump, although the new low value would need to hold for more than three days before I’d take it to signal an underlying Index value of less than -18.

" If Conservatives pound the Dr. shortage as an inevitable consequence of what the Dems have done, which is is, more points will be scored. Also, the $2000/year Extended Care Tax has surprised the independents who thought they were going to get money for free. "

We've all heard of the doctor shortage thing, but can you elucidate on the $2k/yr Extended Care Tax? What's that about?