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They Still Don’t Have the Votes
NRO ^ | 3/20/2010 | Jeffrey Anderson

Posted on 03/20/2010 1:02:50 PM PDT by Uncledave

They Still Don’t Have the Votes [Jeffrey H. Anderson]

The most likely explanation for the breakdown of talks between Rep. Bart Stupak and Speaker Nancy Pelosi is not that Pelosi decided she didn’t need Stupak and his crew in order to have enough votes to pass Obamacare. Rather, it is that Stupak — who is increasingly emerging as this drama’s Jefferson Smith (Jimmy Stewart’s heroic character in Mr. Smith Goes to Washington) — held firm in insisting on language that would truly prevent taxpayer-funded abortions, and in insisting that such language be passed by the Senate before the bill could become law.

In turn, Pelosi either decided that by accepting the language, she would lose more votes in the House than she would gain, or else knew that Democratic senators, with their strong preference for taxpayer-funded abortion, would never go along with this concession to the views of the vast majority of Americans.

In any event, by all accounts, Pelosi is now trying to pass the bill without the pro-life Democratic vote — or at least without Stupak. As of now, it doesn’t appear that she has the votes. I currently count 208 leaning in favor of Obamacare and 214 leaning against, with 9 undecided. Here they are — with the margin by which the presidential vote was won (by one party or the other) in their districts over the last three elections:

• Marion Berry (D., Ark.) (GOP +8) — pro-Stupak Amendment

• Henry Cuellar (D., Tex.) (Dem +1) — pro-Stupak Amendment

• Bill Foster (D., Ill.) (GOP +4)

• Jim Matheson (D., Utah) (GOP +30) — with nearly two-thirds of his constituents having supported GOP presidential candidates over the last three elections, a “yes” vote on Stupak, and an earlier “no” vote on Obamacare, a “yes” vote would mean that, for the rest of his days, he would be remembered as the guy who sold his vote for the price of Obama’s having just nominated his brother to a federal judgeship

• Michael Michaud (D., Me.) (Dem +7) — pro-Stupak Amendment

• Solomon Ortiz (D., Tex.) (GOP +1) — pro-Stupak Amendment

• Earl Pomeroy (D., N.D.) (GOP +21) — pro-Stupak Amendment — yes, that’s GOP +21

• Nick Rahall (D., W.V.) (GOP +6) — pro-Stupak Amendment

• Zach Space (D., Ohio) (GOP +12) — pro-Stupak Amendment

Also, here is a partial list of some particularly key members who are leaning “no”:

• Christopher Carney (D., Pa.) (GOP +15) — pro-Stupak Amendment

• Dan Lipinski (D., Ill.) (Dem +22) — pro-Stupak Amendment

• Kathleen Dahlkemper (D., Pa.) (GOP +3) — pro-Stupak Amendment

• Glenn Nye (D., Va.) (GOP +9) — “no” last time


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: 111th; bhohealthcare; heathcare; nro; obamacare
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To: Sarah Barracuda

Maybe not. TheHill.Com is not some authority from on high. Nobody is really going to know until tomorrow.


121 posted on 03/20/2010 2:06:00 PM PDT by Tribune7 (Only stupid, racists people support Obama.)
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To: Uncledave

bttt


122 posted on 03/20/2010 2:06:43 PM PDT by hattend (The era of John McCain is over, the era of Ronald Reagan is back! Go Sarah Go!)
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To: CaptainK

I know. I can’t believe Fox is doing this.


123 posted on 03/20/2010 2:08:24 PM PDT by freekitty (Give me back my conservative vote; then find me a real conservative to vote for)
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To: what's up
Anything that sucks the wind out of their latest/current momentum is fine by me.

Each smaller FAIL leading to the Grand FAIL.
124 posted on 03/20/2010 2:08:56 PM PDT by CaptSkip
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To: Sarah Barracuda

“Let’s hope Mark Levin and others an repeal this..if this passes, America as we know it is finished”

We keep fighting, we will umtimately win.
The vast majority of the American people are against this thing. We must never give up. Never.


125 posted on 03/20/2010 2:10:59 PM PDT by Names Ash Housewares
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To: midnightcat

So do they have the votes or not? I read 3 posts that say it’s over; I read 3 more that say they don’t have the votes; and so on and so on....FOX news is sounding like PMSNBC today....

Does anyone know??? I can’t watch any more tv.


126 posted on 03/20/2010 2:15:27 PM PDT by NurseZac
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To: TexasNative2000

They already have 209. Everyone has their price. Pelosi and crew just need to buy off 8 more of the spineless weasels. Its over folks.


127 posted on 03/20/2010 2:16:48 PM PDT by RightWingNilla
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To: DanielRedfoot

You are absolutely right; my parents were Dems and had NO idea what was really going on. They just watched a D channel thru their D-colored glasses, got a few talking points so they could ‘give their opinion’ and moved on...

I LUV this idea...infiltration & deception cannot be overlooked as a means to an end.
Why should we just have Liberal Conservatives? Why can’t we have Conservative “Liberals” (wink wink)-

We can’t just ‘think outside the box’-we have to ACT INSIDE the box....

SZQ


128 posted on 03/20/2010 2:16:54 PM PDT by homegroan (*Vote Kitteh & Squirrel 2012*!....ILLIGITIMA NON CARBORUNDUM..... -that's 4U Dad!))
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To: RKBA Democrat
RKBA Democrat said...”Bela Pelosi is never going to lose her seat to a Republican. It just ain’t gonna happen. And if a Republican runs against her, she simply ignores the challenge, secure in the knowledge that in her district, there is little chance that a Republican will win.”

Tell that to Scott Brown.

129 posted on 03/20/2010 2:18:01 PM PDT by Country Eagle
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To: Sarah Barracuda

“perhaps if more people had come out to vote McCain would have won.”

Perhaps if McDonkey wasn’t on the ticket, more people would have come out for the GOP candidate.


130 posted on 03/20/2010 2:18:13 PM PDT by Grunthor (Mary was the temple of God, not the god of the temple)
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To: Grunthor

You have a point


131 posted on 03/20/2010 2:21:56 PM PDT by Sarah Barracuda
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To: NurseZac; All

The latest from Eric Cantor moments ago is that it is still very fluid and they haven’t given up yet...per NRO.


132 posted on 03/20/2010 2:22:05 PM PDT by Sea2ShiningSea
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To: RightWingNilla
Pelosi and crew just need to buy off 8 more of the spineless weasels.

If she hasn't got them now she better get moving. Time is running out.

I was sure Altmire was going to be a yes and when he said he was a no I was sure it was because I though Ninny P had it in the back and was cutting him slack in a tough district.

But it's clear she could use his vote and I suspect a lot of the undecideds are thinking strongly about voting no.

133 posted on 03/20/2010 2:24:01 PM PDT by Tribune7 (Only stupid, racists people support Obama.)
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To: Tribune7

Stupak’s coalition is folding like a cheap suit.


134 posted on 03/20/2010 2:25:22 PM PDT by RightWingNilla
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To: NurseZac
Does anyone know???

No. So keep praying and don't get discouraged.

135 posted on 03/20/2010 2:25:32 PM PDT by Tribune7 (Only stupid, racists people support Obama.)
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To: Ron C.

Yeah me too.


136 posted on 03/20/2010 2:28:01 PM PDT by Ladycalif ("If you don't have a sword, sell your cloak and buy one." Jesus)
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To: RightWingNilla

Where are you getting that from?


137 posted on 03/20/2010 2:28:53 PM PDT by Tribune7 (Only stupid, racists people support Obama.)
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To: Tribune7

Over at the live thread...

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/2475327/posts?page=1100#1100


138 posted on 03/20/2010 2:32:27 PM PDT by RightWingNilla
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To: Uncledave

Thanks for that breakout ....of the no’s.


139 posted on 03/20/2010 2:33:59 PM PDT by Ernest_at_the_Beach ( Support Geert Wilders)
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To: pnut22

**We must pray.**

And continue to pray.


140 posted on 03/20/2010 2:39:30 PM PDT by Salvation ("With God all things are possible." Matthew 19:26)
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