For an incumbent, particularly as well-known as McCain, a 48% number is not very good.
Seems like I remember a fellar in Texas that was well known and never broke 50% in the polls leading up to the primary but still won with about 52%...... I think if McCain holds the 48% it will be easier for him to get the 2% as opposed to JD getting the larger number. It’s a shame but it is damn hard to defeat an incumbent but we can hope.
“Seems like I remember a fellar in Texas that was well known and never broke 50% in the polls leading up to the primary but still won with about 52%...... I think if McCain holds the 48% it will be easier for him to get the 2% as opposed to JD getting the larger number. It’s a shame but it is damn hard to defeat an incumbent but we can hope.”
I believe the Hayworth/McPain match-up will be more like the Rubio/Suntan Charlie match-up. Rubio started out being far behind in the polls and with just a fraction of the money that Suntan had. By hammering away at his own conservative credentials and the shallowness of Suntan’s conservative credentials, Rubio eventually took the lead and is now considerably ahead of Suntan Charlie.
In this very angry anti-incumbent, anti-Washington, anti-RINO year, I think McPain is in big trouble and I fully expect J. D. to be even or ahead of McPain in a couple of months. Perhaps sooner if amnesty gets put on the front burner.
I’ve only skimmed all the comments here, so correct me if I missed it, but where is the conversation on exactly HOW JD is conservative?
He’s against amnesty. K. Got it.
But he’s a HUGE pork barreller!
And in 2003 he voted with his party, like a dead fish going with the flow, on Medicare Part D, the largest expansion of an entitlement program since Medicare itself passed in the 60s.
That’s your idea of a conservative?
McCain, on economic principle, voted against his party and against this unfunded mandate.
I must ask you:
What is the primary concern in this country right now?
A. Stopping the out of control spending, which is seriously jeopardizing us with all the financial rating companies, is keeping us in this recession, is preventing job creation, etc. etc?
B. Amnesty?
If you answer b, then Hayworth is your guy. Oh. And you’re also seriously out of touch with what is the primary problem in the country right now.
That doesn’t mean illegal immigration is not a problem; but priorities, people!!
Hayworth will not help the economy if he behaves and votes as he has in his past elected office.
The difference between McCain’s 48% and Rick Perry’s was Debra Medina. It was a three-way race and Medina was polling between 15-20%. Once Medina eliminated herself with her truther comments, the fall-off split between Perry and KBH. AFAIK, there is no Medina in the Arizona race to serve as spoiler. It’s just one-vs-one and Hutchison was never close to Perry.
Five months is a long way to go and McCain is going to have several votes to cast and several speeches to give in which he might say/vote something that causes him to lose support. If there’s a debate, I hope Hayworth can hammer the amnesty issue.