Other than Perriello, who else is on the fence to call?
Undecided
Jason Altmire (Pa.) * (N) Sounding more like a no than he was last week. On March 16, Altmire told Fox Business Network that he has major problem with Democrats’ apparent “deem and pass” strategy, calling it “wrong.”
Majority Whip James Clyburn (D-S.C.) told McClatchy Newspaperrs he is targeting Altmire, who many view as key to passage. Voted no in committee and on floor, but bottom line is his yes vote is gettable
Brian Baird (Wash.) (N) Retiring member who bucked party on Iraq war surge. Another target of Clyburn
Melissa Bean (Ill.) (Y) Conservative Democrat well-positioned for midterm election
Shelley Berkley (Nev.) (Y) Told Politico she does not like the Senate bill
Sanford Bishop Jr. (Ga.) * (Y) Favors Stupak provision
Tim Bishop (N.Y.) (Y) Must-have vote for leadership. Bishop’s office told CNN that the New York lawmaker wants major changes to Senate bill. Voted yes in March 15 Budget Committee markup
Michael Capuano (Y) Wanted to be a senator, but doesn’t trust the Senate. TPM reported that Capuano is leaning no. In an e-mail to supporters, Capuano said he has many problems with Senate measure
Dennis Cardoza (Calif.) * (Y) Secured language for district before last year’s vote
Jim Cooper (Tenn.) * (Y) Has had up-and-down relationship with Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.)
Jim Costa (Calif.) * (Y) Secured project for his district before November vote
Henry Cuellar (Texas) * (Y) Cuellar backs Stupak language but undecided. Cuellar’s vote has been one of rampant speculation, but the office told The Daily Caller he is undecided. Under pressure from Speaker and the president, Cuellar backed the climate change bill and House healthcare measure last year.
Kathy Dahlkemper (Pa.) * (Y) GOP target. Her yes vote could be key to passage. Strong backer of Stupak language
Brad Ellsworth (Ind.) * (Y) In what could be a bad sign for Democrats, Ellsworth missed the vote on March 18 when Democrats moved to table GOP resolution condemning “deem and pass” strategy. Ten Democrats, many of them no votes on health reform, voted with the GOP on that roll call. Ellsworth made every other vote on March 18. Senate hopeful is big supporter of Stupak language. Told the AP he won’t be swayed by arm-twisting by the president
Bob Etheridge (N.C.) * (Y) Told McClatchy he’s undecided. Said, “When North Carolina families are hurting, doing nothing really isn’t an option for me.” Voted yes in Budget Committee markup on March 15
Bill Foster (Ill.) (Y) GOP target
Marcia Fudge (Ohio) (Y) Fudge is undecided, according to wkyc.com. Obama lobbying for her vote, giving her a ride on Air Force One on March 15
John Hall (N.Y.) (Y) Democratic leaders may lose other Dems from N.Y., but need to keep Hall on board
Debbie Halvorson (Ill.) (Y) Politically vulnerable, but favored to win her reelection race
Paul Kanjorski (Pa.) * (Y) GOP target. Also voted with education reform bill that will move with healthcare reform in reconciliation
Marcy Kaptur (Ohio) * (Y) Voted with leadership first time around, but doesn’t toe the party line. Wants Stupak language but that’s not a deal breaker. Voted yes during Budget Committee markup. Likely to move to lean yes category soon
Mary Jo Kilroy (Ohio) (Y) In toss-up race this November
Ron Kind (Wis.) (Y) Represents competitive district. Voted against bill in committee
Ron Klein (Fla.) (Y) GOP target
Suzanne Kosmas (Fla.) (N) President Obama urges her to vote yes in the Oval Office, according to March 16 AP report
Jerry McNerney (Calif.) (Y) Waiting for final language. There are false reports of him being a firm no
Harry Mitchell (Ariz.) (Y) In bad sign for the Democratic leaders, Mitchell voted with Republicans March 18 on motion to condemn “deem and pass” strategy. GOP target. His spokesperson told The Hill: “The Congressman had some concerns with the Senate bill and will look over reconciliation to see how it impacts the Senate bill.”
Alan Mollohan (W.Va.) * (Y) In November, seat was considered safe. Now, he’s in a tight race
Chris Murphy (Conn.) (Y) GOP target
Scott Murphy (N.Y.) (N) President Obama urges Murphy to vote yes in Oval Office meeting, according to March 16 AP report. Reelection race looks good, for now. Told local media he might vote yes
Richard Neal (Mass.) * (Y) Better vote yes if he wants to take Ways and Means gavel; fan of Stupak language
Glenn Nye (Va.) (N) In toss-up race
Solomon Ortiz (Texas) * (Y) Was a late yes last time around
Bill Owens (N.Y.) (Y) One of first votes in Congress was yes on House health bill; media reports have him as undecided
Tom Perriello (Va.) * (Y) His vote is anyone’s guess. Took a step toward a yes by endorsing Senate abortion language on March 16, but then voted with GOP on condemning the “deem and pass” strategy of Democratic leaders. In toss-up race this fall; Pelosi had long talk with the Virginia Democrat on March 10 on the House floor
Earl Pomeroy (N.D.) * (Y) Voted against bill in committee, and for it on the House floor
Ciro Rodriguez (Texas) * (Y) Considered by Cook Political Report to “likely” retain seat
Bobby Rush (Ill.) (Y) Surprise addition to this list. Said he was undecided on March 18. The Hill reported that Rush engaged in several discussions with leadership lawmakers after announcing his position. Concerned about bill’s impact on hospitals in poor areas. Still, liberal congressman is a likely yes. Rush defeated Barack Obama in 2000 House primary
John Salazar (Colo.) * (Y) GOP target
Loretta Sanchez (Calif.) (Y) Was a late yes in November
Kurt Schrader (Ore.) (Y) Budget Committee member didn’t vote during March 15 markup. In competitive reelection race.
Zack Space (Ohio) * (Y) Voted yes in committee and yes on the floor last year
Adam Smith (Wash.) (Y) Was a late yes in November
John Tanner (Tenn.) * (N) House deputy whip not running for reelection, but he still will need to be convinced to get to yes. Voted no in committee and on floor
Dina Titus (Nev.) (Y) Her office told The Hill the congresswoman is undecided. Voted no in committee and yes on the floor last year
Paul Tonko (N.Y.) (Y) Waiting for Congressional Budget Office numbers