Posted on 01/22/2010 5:46:08 AM PST by bmweezer
Normally safe Democratic seats could be taken
The GOP is within striking distance of taking over the U.S. Senate in 2011. If you believe our recent analysis (or that of Larry Sabato), the GOP would find itself with 48 seats in the Upper Chamber versus 52 for the Dems, if the election were held today. However, why should the party stop there?
With Scott Browns victory in Massachusetts, nothing seems impossible and therefore, the party faithful should go full-steam ahead to help take back our country by focusing also on the following races:
California
The despicable Barbara Boxer is up for re-election and recent polls show that a Republican could beat her. Like Massachusetts, California has not elected a Republican to the U.S. Senate in many years, but perhaps now is the time.
Connecticut I
When Sen. Christopher Dodd (D) announced his retirement, this race went from a likely GOP pickup to a likely Democratic hold. However, with neighbor Massachusetts show how best to beat a Democrat, perhaps the GOP isnt dead here after all.
Connecticut II
While not up for reelection this year, Sen. Joe Lieberman (I) would certainly be sought out by the GOP for a vote if the other races produce a 50-50 tie come November. Lieberman the 2000 Democratic vice presidential candidate has made it no secret that he is tired of the Democratic Party that he current caucuses with, and if the opportunity presents itself, he might just bolt the party that he left in 2006 all together.
Indiana
Sen. Evan Bayh (D) has done very well as a Democrat in a pretty reliable Republican state (save for Obama in 08), serving first as governor and then two terms as a U.S. Senator. However, it looks like Rep. Mike Pence is thinking about joining the race, which would give the GOP a top-tier challenger. One might recall that in 1980, Evans father Birch was defeated for reelection for the same office by someone named Dan Quayle.
Washington
Sen. Patty Murray (D) was elected to the U.S. Senate in 1992, 1996 and 2004 by healthy margins. If the GOP has any chance of actually taking the majority this year, knocking off Murray might be essential. In 2004, Murray beat Rep. George Nethercutt, who joined the House in 1994, after knocking off then-Speaker Thomas Foley (D) as part of the Republican Revolution.
Wisconsin
Sen. Russ Feingold has represented the Cheese State since 1992, winning between 51 and 55 percent of the vote in each of his three contests. Safe to say that if Feingold goes down, the U.S. Senate will be in GOP hands
This is all in Pennsylvania's 13th District, a gerrymandered district which encompasses parts of NE Philadelphia and Eastern Montgomery County. We're currently "represented" by Allyson Schwartz - a partisan Dem sheep. The endorsement will be made on Feb 8th, and then we'll see. Most of the candidates said they'd withdraw if not endorsed. I suspect there will be a primary though, since one candidate said he'd run regardless and a second refused to be pinned down.
There is no harm in doing so after the election. By then, it is too late for the Coakley campaign to launch the inevitable (Scott Brown: REPUBLICAN) attack ad.
After the election, you can't hide the money, anyway. So you might as well acknowledge it. You just don't do like the morons over at the DSCC, and issue a press release along with the money, because that puts the national party in the middle of a local race. The only reason to do it is because the Democrats are too insecure and self-promoting to let an apple-polishing opportunity go by. It is good to see that Steele has more sense than that.
Steele mentioned RNC participation before the election was held, although it was probably too late (as you note) for the DEMs to produce and distribute attack ads based on Steele's statement.
But the general principle of "discrete giving" is no more. Agreed that the transaction can't be hidden, on account of reporting requirements, but it need not be touted at any point.
My sense is that Steele touted the giving in order to gain respect (and potentially money) from conservatives who have little use for the national party apparatus.
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