[JHBowden]

Intrade still has Brown up 70.5 to 29...

A large turnout on Democrat turf usually means a Democrat win. If we win, the independents must break to Brown in a big way.

[goldstategop]

Yep. If its still at 70% in one hour. I think Brown's done it!

"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find only things evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelogus

[Fury]

A large turnout on Democrat turf usually means a Democrat win. If we win, the independents must break to Brown in a big way

Good point and one not to be forgotten. However, with the anger at Dems pushing health care, there may be a heavier than normal turnout to vote against that.

Oh, the NY-23 is not a good indicator of a special election just because of the crazy, zany stiff that happened in that one...

[SeattleBruce]

“A large turnout on Democrat turf usually means a Democrat win. If we win, the independents must break to Brown in a big way.”

51% independents - they are breaking big time to Brown. A big turnout can also mean those that don’t normally vote are voting, and the campaign that’s most energized often benefits from that.

Hmmm...any guess to which campaign that was? (Not saying it’s in the bag - but it *still* looks good!)