Posted on 01/18/2010 10:03:09 AM PST by icwhatudo
The new Daily Kos/Research 2000 poll of the Massachusetts special Senate election has the race as a tie between Democrat Martha Coakley and Republican Scott Brown -- the best independent poll result that Coakley has had in the last few days.
A Research 2000 poll from last week, which was commissioned by the local liberal blog Blue Mass Group, had Coakley with a stronger lead of 49%-41%.
Daily Kos's Laura Clawson writes: "As we keep saying, this one comes down to GOTV."
“DEMOCRATS 195 39%
REPUBLICANS 97 19%”
2 to 1 sampling bias for liberals, and their poll has the two in a dead heat?
They have to know they are toast. The internals of this are far better than I would have expected. Most pollsters have a thumb on the scale somewhere, but this firm had their entire elbow and it didn’t really help.
"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find only things evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelogus
Massachusetts people have discovered that things DON’T go better with Coak.
You can make calls for candidates out of your state? Can I just pick who I like nationwide and help them?
Tied? How convenient but uh I don’t think so!
The 48/48 -— as opposed to every other recent poll -— is a hopey/changey/don’t-give-up-the-fight/go-to-the-polls/we-can-still-do-this projection on the rats’ part!
And it was done last week!
Dems have a 2 to 1 registration edge (might even be 3 to 1) in Mass.
What do the internals look like? If they oversampled Rats to get this result, it further highlights their panic.
"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find only things evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelogus
Rasmussen was just on Fox. He has Brown at 64%.
Take a look at post 14. It’s clear what they’re after! It’s a GOTV polly!
Thats fraud and inducement to fraud, Once the investigation begins, heads roll at Fannie Freddie. Its an illegal welfare lending program, and it has to stop.The banks are being scapegoated to take attention away from Fannie/Freddie.Time to get them is NOW!
“I just called Barney Frank’s Newton, MA office to remind him that his seat is vulnerable”
-Of course his seat is vulnerable. He wouldn’t have it any other way.
"Show me just what Mohammed brought that was new, and there you will find only things evil and inhuman, such as his command to spread by the sword the faith he preached." - Manuel II Palelogus
“his seat is vulnerable”... Tee hee hee, it’s penetrable too!
There's an investigation? When exactly is that scheduled... I want to start popping some corn. ;-)
Could just be an expired cert.
| Poll | Date | Sample | Brown (R) | Coakley (D) | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daily Kos/R2000 | 1/15 - 1/17 | 500 LV | 48 | 48 | Tie |
| PJM/CrossTarget (R) | 1/17 - 1/17 | 574 LV | 52 | 42 | Brown +10 |
| PPP (D) | 1/16 - 1/17 | 1231 LV | 51 | 46 | Brown +5 |
| InsideMedford/MRG | 1/15 - 1/15 | 565 LV | 51 | 41 | Brown +10 |
| PJM/CrossTarget (R) | 1/14 - 1/14 | 946 LV | 54 | 39 | Brown +15 |
| ARG | 1/12 - 1/14 | 600 LV | 48 | 45 | Brown +3 |
| Blue Mass Group/R2000 (D) | 1/12 - 1/13 | 500 LV | 41 | 49 | Coakley +8 |
| Suffolk/7News | 1/11 - 1/13 | 500 LV | 50 | 46 | Brown +4 |
| Rasmussen Reports | 1/11 - 1/11 | 1000 LV | 47 | 49 | Coakley +2 |
They undersampled independents to gerrymander the results.
Poll is crap.
did he say, "he-woh?"
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