[Falconspeed]

From the Boston Herald:

Herald Pulse
What can Martha Coakley’s dip in the polls be attributed to?

12% - Playing it too safe as a front-runner

10% - Poor performance in debates

12% - Brown’s momentum caught her flatfooted

3% - Dust-up outside D.C. event cast her in a bad light

22% - Withered under national spotlight over health care

7% - Saying terrorists are out of Afghanistan

18% - Brown saying the Senate seat does not belong to Kennedy family

7% - Poll is wrong, she’s going to win

9% - Other? Comment below

[Falconspeed]

The above statistics include 11,268 votes. I conclude that Brown will win.