I think cap and tax will die in the senate, but amnesty may get on the docket before the midterms. It remains to be seen how much Obama wishes to push the bill that has just been introduced into the House. The Dems may just decide that “in for a penny, in for a pound” and try to pass it regardless of the political fallout. With their huge majorities in Congress and the fact that some Reps will support CIR, they just might pass it and Obama will sign it. The battle will be in the House.