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Threat Matrix: 2010
Freerepublic.com ^ | 12/31/2009 | Freeper TMers

Posted on 12/31/2009 10:06:46 AM PST by Velveeta

:::FreeRepublic's Threat Matrix:::
Critical Threats: Blank When None
Al Qaeda’s Yemen Connection, America and the Global Islamic Jihad

December 30, 2009 — The attempt to destroy Northwest Airlines flight 253 en route from Amsterdam to Detroit on Christmas Day underscores the growing ambition of al Qaeda's Yemen franchise, which has grown from a largely Yemeni agenda to become a player in the global Islamic jihad in the last year. Since merging with the al Qaeda franchise in Saudi Arabia last January and renaming itself Al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP), it has stepped up operations in Yemen itself, struck into Saudi Arabia, and now operates on the global stage. The weak Yemeni government of President Ali Abdallah Salih, which has never fully controlled the country and now faces a host of growing problems, will need significant American support to defeat AQAP.

Al Qaeda has long been active in Yemen, the original homeland of Osama bin Laden's family, and one of its first major terror attacks was conducted in Aden in 2000, when an al Qaeda cell nearly sank the USS Cole. A year ago, the al Qaeda franchises in Saudi Arabia and Yemen merged after the Saudi branch had been effectively repressed by the Saudi authorities under the leadership of Deputy Interior Minister Prince Muhammad bin Nayif. The new AQAP showed its claws last August, when it almost assassinated the prince with a suicide bomber who had passed through at least two airports on the way to his attempt on Nayif.

(snip)

The attack on the Amsterdam-Detroit flight also shows that al Qaeda remains obsessed with striking the American airline industry, a target it has gone after repeatedly since 1999. If AQAP has now been told by the al Qaeda core leadership to take on the job, we can probably assume that other al Qaeda franchises in North Africa, Iraq, Southeast Asia and elsewhere have also been pressed to attack.

The Brookings Institution



Threat Matrix:
2010
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Threat Matrix: Since November 3, 2003
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TOPICS: Front Page News; News/Current Events; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: cranswick; lacklancranswick; terror; terrorism; threatmatrix; tm; wot
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To: Moe Tzadik

I don’t know what’s up but they were clearly in “high alert” mode.


2,061 posted on 02/04/2010 1:21:42 PM PST by jersey117
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To: JustPiper

http://www.thenational.ae/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20100203/OPINION/702029936/1126/opinion&template=columnists

Iran’s unfolding game in the Middle East
Last Updated: February 02. 2010 8:20PM UAE / February 2. 2010 4:20PM GMT

“The latest statements by the Iranian president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad that any solution to Middle East conflicts is contingent upon Iran’s consent are a serious development. They come along with another warning to the Gulf states not to interfere in Yemen’s internal affairs,” remarked Waleed al Saadi in a comment piece for the Jordanian newspaper Al Rai.

Most observers agree that Iran is flexing its muscles in the region. Tehran is omnipresent in Lebanon through Hizbollah, in Gaza through Hamas, in Iraq through religiou§ s influences, and in Yemen through the Houthis.

It is not surprising that Iran feels so confident to claim its pivotal role which feeds its growing ego as a big regional country. This encourages it to further consolidate its position by reaching out to Turkey, the other major power in the Middle East, in an attempt to strengthen bilateral ties of co-operation. Tehran is already behaving arrogantly, so how would it act if it possessed nuclear weapons?

In that case, the Palestinian cause would be downgraded and the Iranian issue would steal the show. Given its rising regional importance, Iran is likely to convince others to enter into dialogue with it, sooner or later, on Middle East issues. Yet all this depends on the Islamic Republic’s willingness to co-operate with the countries in the region to achieve stability and security.

Security challenges are likely to endure
Most armed operations in Iraq since 2003 were ordered by Saddam Hussein and other leaders tied to the former regime, but some were masterminded by the al Qa’eda organisation, which took advantage of the security vacuum, observed Wafeeq al Sameraei in an opinion piece for the London-based daily Al Sharq al Awsat.

Had those embarked upon establishing the new state not committed flagrant mistakes, Iraqis would not have felt a sense of injustice, leading to local insurgencies. The new government caused damage to large segments of society when it decided to exclude former army officers and security forces. In reaction, they turned against the government.

Terrorists and the military opposition had more skills and better experience than the security authorities in place. The relative stability achieved today cannot be attributed to the Iraqi government, but to allied local forces who countered the death squads

Iraqis have begun to realise the consequences of excluding former security forces on sectarian and partisan grounds. It became clear that a collaborative expertise was lost, and when the new government tried to build an alternative security system, it erroneously counted on quantity rather than quality. As a result, a large number of unqualified soldiers were recruited in a rush, causing a waste of state resources.


2,062 posted on 02/04/2010 1:42:13 PM PST by GlennBeck08
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To: JustPiper

http://www.antijihadresistance.com/

Have you seen this link yet? I am waaay behind on reading the posts ;)


2,063 posted on 02/04/2010 1:48:52 PM PST by GlennBeck08
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To: GlennBeck08; blackie; MamaDearest; WestCoastGal; Oorang; Rushmore Rocks; caww; All

Everyone please welcome my #4 passion, who I affectionately call 07.

GB 07, anytime you want to know what’s truly going on under the covers in the ME, & here our WOT throws PC out & truth in! We’ll know when/where they will attack before they do!

~Soulmate meet my #4 passion -hehe-


2,064 posted on 02/04/2010 4:32:23 PM PST by JustPiper (Where IS the "Progress in PROGRESSIVE" ?!?)
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To: GlennBeck08

Oh step right in! Love dat about you!

GB was enlightening today to the naysayers who say Mahdi is bloviating as he does annually, GB knows , as we do here, this time it is different. We have been following this intently & something is gonna blow, hopefully, prayerfully, it’s him


2,065 posted on 02/04/2010 4:36:18 PM PST by JustPiper (Where IS the "Progress in PROGRESSIVE" ?!?)
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To: GlennBeck08

No adding it to bookmarks! again TY for finding things I’ve not seen!

But the Revolution is so evident & I admire the young folks, willing to die for his ouster, well, many citizens are there!

The video really got me!

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OIP38eq-ywc&feature=player_embedded#


2,066 posted on 02/04/2010 4:38:40 PM PST by JustPiper (Where IS the "Progress in PROGRESSIVE" ?!?)
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To: JustPiper

I will always get a chuckle out of ‘07. I don’t know why, it’s just hysterical to me. I think this thread throws the covers off the ME, off of PC, off the WOT as run by 0bama and truthfully it’s worse then the covers being thrown off my grandparents. Scary, scary.

Oh and you’ve made me blush again... pinging all those folks like that ;)


2,067 posted on 02/04/2010 4:40:19 PM PST by GlennBeck08
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To: JustPiper

This time President Mike’s bloviating seemed to come out a little more strongly. Not just as something he was saying in passing. It wasn’t a throw away sounding line this time. I think he meant business. With President 0bama having the respect of entire world as we all know he does, I am hoping Ahmadinjeahdadkfdf (sp) is just going to offer a discount on oil. Nah, I doubt it.


2,068 posted on 02/04/2010 4:47:42 PM PST by GlennBeck08
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To: GlennBeck08

Oh and those are just the longtime TM’ers -g- BTW thanks much for that link to Anti-Jihad! I nominated us (TM)to be added


2,069 posted on 02/04/2010 4:54:18 PM PST by JustPiper (Where IS the "Progress in PROGRESSIVE" ?!?)
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To: GlennBeck08; All

I say we take a collection from TM’ers for a one way ticket for BHO to Iran?


2,070 posted on 02/04/2010 4:55:31 PM PST by JustPiper (Where IS the "Progress in PROGRESSIVE" ?!?)
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To: JustPiper

That would make a good headline.

Freerepublic Posters Bid Adieu to BHO; One Way Ticket to Iran Purchased

It would solve one of our biggest threats wouldn’t it?


2,071 posted on 02/04/2010 5:03:48 PM PST by GlennBeck08
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To: blackie

Heart and Soul on the Expressway to your Heart
~JP singing the best songs ever


2,072 posted on 02/04/2010 5:15:53 PM PST by JustPiper (Where IS the "Progress in PROGRESSIVE" ?!?)
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To: JustPiper

Your post caused me to imagine the voice of Willie Nelson singing “Maybe I didn’t ping you, quite as often as I should have...”


2,073 posted on 02/04/2010 5:17:18 PM PST by 185JHP ( "The thing thou purposest shall come to pass: And over all thy ways the light shall shine.")
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To: JustPiper; All

Ticket, my scrawny butt! let him walk on water. Maybe he’ll get tired and drown his self.


2,074 posted on 02/04/2010 8:14:14 PM PST by MestaMachine (http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2426869/posts SUPPORT RINO FREE AMERICA)
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To: JustPiper

That’s great. Thanks!


2,075 posted on 02/04/2010 10:49:45 PM PST by Moe Tzadik
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To: MestaMachine

Ticker tape @ DEPKA...

• Wednesday, Syrian ruler accused Israel of leading the Middle East to war • His FM Moallem said the next war will come to Israeli cities.


2,076 posted on 02/04/2010 11:22:55 PM PST by caww
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To: JustPiper

For those who are watching Geert Wilders trial...Islam on Trial would best say what this is about. Muslims are protesting his movie “Fitna” which actually exposes Islam for what it is. As well that he is using hate speech in his fight against Islam....this is really quite huge...Europe is watching this trial closely...it’s just begun to come to our news...He already was denied all the witnesses he requested..initially 13-16 professionals etc. down to just three...looks like the court is not going to give him a fair trial.


Wednesday February 3rd 2010 Dutch politician Geert Wilders launches website on the political trial against him and the freedom of speech to keep up with the trials’ proceedings.

Website not only includes the latest news on the trial but also will provide background information on the trials, participants, the summons, the cause and the importance of this trial for freedom of speech in the Netherlands and –possibly- for the whole of Europe.

Geert Wilders: “This trial is not just about me. It is about the future of freedom of speech in the Netherlands. The outcome of this trial affects the freedom of all Dutch citizens. With the website, I want to make it possible for people to follow the latest developments concerning the trial.”
www.wildersontrial.com (International version)


2,077 posted on 02/04/2010 11:38:12 PM PST by caww
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To: MestaMachine

Hi Mesta ...this Wilders trial going on in Europe is really a big deal. Are you aware of what’s going on? Wilder is a Popular Politician who speaks out against Islam and the Muslims are fighting him on this via the courts.

How this goes will determine so much in being able to soeak out against Islam. They are trying to say his speeches an activities insight hatred against them and their religion.

Wilders is a very smart man and has huge support of the citizens throughtout europe. Worth looking at.

I posted his new website put up so people can follow this trial..who the players are etc.

I wish we could have an on going thread about this as so many here are quite aware of the Islamic threat.


2,078 posted on 02/04/2010 11:49:25 PM PST by caww
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To: caww

War of words. Syria wants the Golan. They will not talk peace unless Israel gives it up first. Israel will not. Leiberman ran off at the mouth and told Assad if there was another war, Syria would be defeated and his family would no longer be in power. Syria says it is Israel that would be defeated. Bibi says:
shut up already!

http://www.ynetnews.com/articles/0,7340,L-3844619,00.html


2,079 posted on 02/04/2010 11:50:31 PM PST by MestaMachine (http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2426869/posts SUPPORT RINO FREE AMERICA)
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To: MestaMachine

Have you noticed his swagga, is lumpy now. And what’s with dat long coat, looks like a traditional robe a blowin’ in da wind


2,080 posted on 02/04/2010 11:54:42 PM PST by JustPiper (Where IS the "Progress in PROGRESSIVE" ?!?)
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