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Never wondered how the Japanese didn't find any of the carriers at Pearl? Weird coincidence. |
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The Japanese decided they needed the oil, rubber and other resources of Indochina, Malaya and the Dutch West Indies in addition to China. The main problem, of course, was the American presence in the Philippines and the Asiatic Fleet sitting athwart the lines of communication south. Yamamoto understood that taking out the Philippines would mean war with America and he understood just how vast our population and economic power was. Thus, the logic lead to the gamble that taking out the fleet at Pearl in addition to the Philippines would buy Japan enough time to consolidate it's conquests and achieve superiority in the Pacific. A number of people in Washington believed an attack was imminent, thus the several warnings sent to Pearl. Most, however, thought the blow would fall in the Philippines and not so far east as Pearl. The bigger scandal IMHO was MacArthur's lack of preparedness. He probably couldn't have defeated the invasion, but he took needless losses in the first blows.
Some Americans wanted to believe the Communist bloc hostility to America and the West was our fault. Some Americans believe Islamofascist hostility to America is our fault. Similarly, some Americans insist we, not the fascists, were somehow responsible for WWII. I don't buy it. Japan, Germany and Italy were all engaged in wars of aggression before we finally came into the war.
Tora Tora Tora fairly closely follows the At Dawn We Slept narrative, which to me is persuasive that our lack of preparedness was due to mistakes, not conspiracies.
I've always considered it evidence that Murphy's Law doesn't just sabotage us, it can also do in others.
It's a "what if" I don't want to play. What if they had been at Pearl? No Battle of the Coral Sea? New Guinea occupied? No Midway? Australia invaded? I just don't even want to think about it. Yamamoto may have been more right than he's been given credit for.