Posted on 11/03/2009 4:19:19 PM PST by presidio9
Edited on 11/03/2009 4:26:25 PM PST by Admin Moderator. [history]
The snows of Kilimanjaro may soon be gone. The African mountain's white peak
(Excerpt) Read more at news.yahoo.com ...
And this hurts...what? Tell me again, please.
You feel no guilt?
Well. You’re not a very useful idiot, are you?
You are correct. That’s why I posted this article of course. The left has a lowest common denominator cycle that it uses to get the uneducated psyched up about global warming. Next month, it will be polar bears again. Then coral reefs. Then possibly frogs. Then honey bees. Then flooding in major population centers. By then we’ll be into the summer and we’ll have a hurricane we can blame on our own actions, hopefully followed by a devestating tsunami that somehow resulted from too many cow farts.
And it is still Not My Fault.
While currently some glaciers are retreating there are others which are thickening. That is historically consistent ... good grief, the earth has seen Ice Ages retreat long before there were SUVs.
Consider the research of Ohio State University glaciologist Lonnie Thompson ... he who predicted in a 10/02 paper in Science an end to Kilimanjaro's glaciers by 2020, more or less, according to current trends. I remember when ABC news picked this up.
Well. much of modern environmental journalism displays a pervasive lack of critical insight toward environmental scares and the scientific papers on which they are supposedly based. An inspection of Thompson's own data, also published in i Science, shows that Kilimanjaro's glaciers would be dying even if i Homo sapiens ancestors were still the dominant hominid in the Rift Valley, a few hundred miles to the West. That is to say, humans are not to blame for the glacial recession.
Thonpson cited five surveys of Kilimanjaro from 1912, 1953, 1976, 1989, and 2000, as per your graphic.
From 1912 to 1953, global temperatures rose (as measured controversially by surface thermometers) 0.4° C (0.74° F). This rise occurred before most of the industrial emissions of so-called "greenhouse gases" , mainly CO2 and CH4. As a result. most scientists think the warming of the 20th century had mainly to do with changes in Mr. Sun. In fact, slight changes in solar output have modulated the earth's surface temperature plus or minus about 1.0° C (1.8° F) over millennia.
Kilimanjaro's glaciers lost 45% of their areal extent during that era of solar warming. If the glaciers had continued to decline at the pace established in that period, they would already be gone by now, pfffft, even with no additional warming from the emissions of greenhouse gases.
But the glaciers are still here. From 1953 through 1976, another 21 percent of the original area was uncovered. This occurred during a period of global cooling of 0.07° C (0.13° F). OSU's press office could logically have written the following hype in 1976: "Kilimanjaro's glaciers will completely disappear by 2015 if this cooling trend continues".
It is patently obvious that global temperatures and their behavior of Kilimanjaro's glaciers are pretty independent, at least on the time scale of decades. Local climate, however, is apparently critical. A glacier cares what happens from its head to its toe, not elsewhere.
The local climate record around Kilimanjaro is confusing. There is very little cohesion between nearby thermometers which argues more that the data are bad than it does for any local cooling or warming. Poor (unsubsidized by Kyoto) countries have little income to spend on a quality climate-monitoring network.
Since, 1976, another 12% of the original mass has disappeared - and despite all the hoopla, a loss of 12% represents the slowest decline since 1912. Although the local temperature measurements are clearly questionable, more recent decades' measurements area as close to perfect as possible. In 1979 satellite monitoring began. All scientists - even the most ardent Anthropogenic Global Warming apocalyptics - acknowledge that the satellite is excellent at measuring temperatures at the altitude of Kilimanjaro's glaciers - about 19,000 feet. In fact, it may measure temperatures at that altitude better than it does at sea level.
Around Kilimanjaro, satellite data shows a cooling of 0.22°C (0.40°F) since 1979, which is the same as the global warming rate between 1912 and 1953 (0.09°C or 0.17°F per decade). Still, Kilimanjaro's glaciers continue to shrink.
In his Science article, Thompson noted that the period from 4,000 to 11,000 years ago was warmer in Africa than it is today, and yet Kilimanjaro was much more glaciated because it was also wetter than it is today. Some estimates place today's precipitation at only 50% of what it was during the warmer period. Obviously, precipitation, not Anthropogenic Global Warming temperature, is the key to the glaciation of Kilimanjaro.
Did people make it stop snowing? Precipitation in East Africa is highly correlated with El Niño activity in the tropical Pacific ocean. During the last big one, 1997-8, how many news stories promulgated the notion that El Niños are becoming more frequent because of AGW?
So someone could argue that humans cause global warming, global warming causes more El Niños, more El Niños affect precipitation, and therefore humans are causing the glaciers to recede. But, if people are causing more El Niños, then in fact it should be snowing more and more on Kilimanjaro - more than it did back in the day when it was even warmer, thousands of years ago.
Lol! Is it time for you to be fitted for a
straight jacket, LJ? :)
Good, they can use the water.
Damn Germans. Always causing trouble. :)>
Environmental justice: Whitey shouldn't be on top.
It’s summertime there. The ice will come back in the winter.
Snow isn’t allowed on the equator !
Mt Kil is an inactive volcano with no eruptions in recorded history...that has nothing to do with it.
The climate changes...naturally. Don't use liberal-like logic to try and explain the fact that its warmer up there. :-) Parts of the globe can cool...and others can warm...at the same time. It's a natural cycle.
If hikers were hiking up Mt Kil during the Roman warm period...or the midieval warm period...I imagine they would have seen the same thing happen: A retreating glacier.
Same thing happened in Switzerland. They are retreating. However, during the little ice-age...the priests were trying to exercise the ice demon coming down the side of the mountain...'cause it was new.
The climate changes and that means that sometimes it warms. There are certain points on this planet where it is cooler (like here!) and there are certain areas where there is no debate it is warmer. We can't be like liberals and pick and choose. They do that. They take one piece of data and say "see!" Like they are doing here. However, some on our side do the same thing...only in reverse.
It's the man-made aspect of it we need to debate with vigor...using examples from the past.
Oh hell no. That can’t possibly be.
Just AS it can’t possibly be that underwater volcanic activity has contributed to the decline of polar icecaps (National Geographic: Fire and Ice (mostly scrubbed by now due to being ‘inconvenient’, except for Iceland reference).
And of course, the fact that scientists have found that the earth is cooling, not warming, has NOTHING whatsoever to do with the reason the envirowackos changed their main bleat to Climate Change from Global Warming. Nah.
easy come easy go
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