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To: AndrewC
52 ! = 8.06581752 × 1067

I haven't checked your math but that would be the same odds for any sequence. The same as for the sequence that I just dealt. It happened even though the odds of it happening are 52 ! = 8.06581752 × 106752 ! = 8.06581752 × 1067 according to you!

You are busted.

164 posted on 06/12/2009 3:17:51 PM PDT by ColdWater
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To: ColdWater
You are busted.

In your mind. Reread the post. I gave the universe of possibilities, then I specified a particular sequence. I then specified a method to generate that particular sequence. What you describe is the probability of shuffling a sequence which is one, certainty. Like this...

Probability space

If the space concerns one flip of a fair coin, then the outcomes are heads and tails: \textstyle \Omega = \{H,T\}. The σ-algebra \textstyle \mathcal F = 2^\Omega contains \textstyle 2^2 = 4 events, namely, \textstyle \{H\} : heads, \textstyle \{T\} : tails, \textstyle \{\} : neither heads nor tails, and \textstyle \{H,T\} : heads or tails. So, \textstyle \mathcal F = \{ \{\}, \{H\}, \{T\}, \{H,T\}\}. There is a fifty percent chance of tossing either heads or tail: \textstyle p(H) = p(T) = 0.5; thus \textstyle P(\{H\}) = P(\{T\}) = 0.5. The chance of tossing neither is zero: \textstyle P(\{\})=0, and the chance of tossing one or the other is one: \textstyle P(\{H,T\})=1.

167 posted on 06/12/2009 4:20:41 PM PDT by AndrewC (Metanoia)
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