[wendy1946]

The guy could easily be right. I used to think the dem party could be reformed or gotten rid of at some point; I no longer believe that. Democracy is a good system for governing a fairly homogeneous people with shared ideals and values, but that's all it is. It cannot be made to work as a system for sharing power between two or more groups with nothing in common at all who basically just despise eachother. At that point, all you have left is a contest to see who can do the better job of gaming the system, which is what we have now.

[headstamp 2]

Excellent analysis.

[seatrout]

Hammer, meet nail.

[USNBandit]

I think I already read this guy's theory and it has some serious flaws.

His theory sees the U.S. breaking up on a regional and racial basis. He basically sees the same type of dissolution seen during the failure of communist countries on an ethnic basis.

The major flaw in his theory is that the U.S. isn't a dictatorship with forced migration of one ethnicity into areas dominated by another. With the exception of Native Americans (a really small minority) you also don't have the long term history of conflict that you see in most of those communist nations.

His views are getting press because the old party communists in Russia want to believe that, since it happened to the USSR, it can happen to the USA.

[balls]

His predicted split looks reasonable, except I don't think Sarah will cede to Russia!

[Nea Wood]

I know you’re hearing this a lot, but...great post.

[anniegetyourgun]

Couple your thoughts with the fact that the GOP is dead, and we really have one party that will dominate for many years to come. One might think that would hold things together, but the nation (as a people) is equally divided. Therefore we face grave challenges ahead in terms of civil unrest.

Beyond that, I don't think Obama really cares about this country. I believe him when he said he is "a citizen of the world." With that attitude, he will certainly not defend our interests, but instead will negotiate (read: appease) with others using our wealth and resources as leverage. Once that is depleted and we are sufficiently weakened, it's likely we will see Russia and China flex their muscles. But before we see that, I think we'll see this new US administration "negotiate" a "peace" agreement in the middle east. In doing so, the world will praise Obama and his popularity will allow him to ride into a second term. After that, things will start to really fall apart.

[Pit1]

Wendy,

Totally agree. I think the break up would occur building Republics of like minded people. Moral/Political = Morapol. Raiding parties would go to each coast to take what they want and return to their Morapol.

The breakup would not be decided by proximity IMHO.

[hreardon]

Couldn’t agree with you more wendy1946. I think this article spells it out quite clearly:

http://townhall.com/columnists/DennisPrager/2008/10/14/there_are_two_irreconcilable_americas