As a Pennsylvanian, I agree with your analysis for the most part.
I think Corbett has a good shot mainly because he’s known and the Democrat contenders are not. Unless Democrats field a black candidate, the folks in Phila. and Pitts. will not be that fired up to vote on an off year.
I’m not so sure Toomey won’t give it another shot. He barely lost last time and Specter had the whole D.C. establishment, including Bush, pushing for him.
I won’t vote for Specter in the primary, period, but will stifle my gag reflex and vote for him in the general if it’s a close race and if, by Specter losing, Democrats would reach 60 in the U.S. Senate.
My fondest dream in 2010 is to see Reid be “Daschled”, regardless of what takes place in PA.
Ditto that.