If you don’t want to bet, just say so. If you’re convinced you’re right, you’ll bet and take my money. Whatever you get is better than 100% of nothing, right?
Look, I actually have to do some work today, so if you change your mind, send me a FReepmail. We’ll work out the details.
PV:
I mean this absolutely seriously and with a straight face: pray for aliens to kidnap him. It’s more likely.
Kevmo:
Our founding fathers thought it likely enough to put forth the 20th Amendment. “If a President shall not have been chosen before the time fixed for the beginning of his term, or if the President elect shall have failed to qualify,”... But they never said anything about aliens kidnapping president elects, so I think your assessment of likelihood is off by a few orders of magnitude.
PV: Would you like to bet? 10:1 odds.
Kevmo: You think aliens are more likely to kidnap Obama than the supreme court is likely to take this case. So if you’re offering 10:1 on the supremes, what are your odds for Aliens? 9:1? 8:1? By all means, let us know. Exactly how am I supposed to trust the word of a loon like you? That’s one reason why I sent you on over to Intrade in the first place, where we both can work towards getting a contract set up and I can take your loon money all I want.