PV:
I mean this absolutely seriously and with a straight face: pray for aliens to kidnap him. It’s more likely.
Kevmo:
Our founding fathers thought it likely enough to put forth the 20th Amendment. “If a President shall not have been chosen before the time fixed for the beginning of his term, or if the President elect shall have failed to qualify,”... But they never said anything about aliens kidnapping president elects, so I think your assessment of likelihood is off by a few orders of magnitude.
PV: Would you like to bet? 10:1 odds.
Kevmo: You think aliens are more likely to kidnap Obama than the supreme court is likely to take this case. So if you’re offering 10:1 on the supremes, what are your odds for Aliens? 9:1? 8:1? By all means, let us know. Exactly how am I supposed to trust the word of a loon like you? That’s one reason why I sent you on over to Intrade in the first place, where we both can work towards getting a contract set up and I can take your loon money all I want.
“I mean this absolutely seriously and with a straight face: pray for aliens to kidnap him. It’s more likely.”
Aliens? As in ILLEGAL ALIENS?
The odds of what I think will happen and the odds of what I’ll give you in a bet are two different things. I would place the odds of the Supreme Court taking this case somewhere on the order of 100,000,000:1. Obviously I can’t give you those kind of odds on a bet; I could never pay.
But you think I’m wrong about the odds, so I offered a fair number that I hoped would entice you to bet while ensuring that, no matter what dollar figure you choose, I’ll still be able to pay if I’m wrong. Seems fair to me.
I’ve also pointed you to an escrow site where if you doubt my word to send you a check, we can arrange for both of us to hold our money in escrow until Monday.
But this isn’t good enough for you. That’s fine. I get that you don’t want to bet—I wouldn’t take my bet, either. It’s a losing bet.
Ok, really—back to work.
“I mean this absolutely seriously and with a straight face: pray for aliens to kidnap him. It’s more likely.”
You earthlings crack me up! What are we going to do with him?