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Now we know Gallup's "likely voter" model: 39%D, 31%I, 29%R. Kinda explains a lot.

Posted on 11/03/2008 4:41:29 PM PST by WestFlorida

Unbelievable that they call themselves a reputable polling firm, some even refer to them as "the gold standard." There is NO WAY there will be more I's than R's and NO WAY we are outvoted by 10%. Rediculous.

Link: http://www.gallup.com


TOPICS: Front Page News; Your Opinion/Questions
KEYWORDS: 2008polls; gallup; mccain; obama
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To: WestFlorida

So almost a third of voters are undecided and that is more than the total Republican voting electorate? Smell like Bullstalin.


41 posted on 11/03/2008 6:21:33 PM PST by weegee (Fight Global Socialist CHANGE. vote NO on Obama-Biden. Say NO to Sen. Government)
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To: WestFlorida
WHY HAVE ELECTIONS AT ALL? Just poll the citizens for 6 weeks and then announce the name of the new president! That's what's happening, folks. The elite are deciding the next president and you don;t have any real say in the matter. Just like Congress. How many of us ACTUALL could vote for Pelosi? Its a dictatorship!

Ban public polling! These people are really screwing up the electoral process. If people don't believe in fair elections, we'll end up with a revolution. Why follow the laws these con artists promulgate??? If McCain loses, we need to break up into separate Republics before it gets crazy. Yugoslavia didn't work and it looks like the USA is falling apart because one party is oppressing the people. This can only end poorly.

42 posted on 11/03/2008 6:22:05 PM PST by April Lexington (I'm voting for McCain in 2008 and Jefferson Davis in 2012)
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To: scripter

ping...


43 posted on 11/03/2008 6:22:26 PM PST by latina4dubya ( self-proclaimed tequila snob)
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To: jsdjason

I noticed a slight error in the last calculation, but the was skewed slightly in Obama’s favor. I showed Gallup using 2-1 breakdown for undecided independents when I should have used a 2.5/1 skewing. So, Gallup was even more in favor of Obama than I originally calculated, but the re-weighting model is still correct.


44 posted on 11/03/2008 6:24:43 PM PST by jsdjason
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To: word_warrior_bob
Turnout will be most likely even like 2004, Democrats will defect from Obama in droves.

The goal is to see racial unrest. Not necessarily riots, just contempt and distrust and bait the angry black leadership.

Rip the scabs off of long healed wounds.

The media will proclaim that white voters LIED to the pollsters when in reality they artifically BOOSTED the number of likely Democrat voters to make Obama appear to be majorly loved. Come election day, those fictional voters (the numbers "polled" do not reflect actual percentages of the voting public) won't materialize. But the media won't acknowledge their attempted deceit, they will blame the white guy who still cannot admit his "racism".

45 posted on 11/03/2008 6:25:20 PM PST by weegee (Fight Global Socialist CHANGE. vote NO on Obama-Biden. Say NO to Sen. Government)
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To: WestFlorida

“Well, if you believe the media, we’d all save everyone a lot of time and trouble if we all just went out and shot ourselves. Me, I’m for wasting reporters’ time. So what do you say we all give them a nice big sh*tburger to eat?”

http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0097815/


46 posted on 11/03/2008 6:25:49 PM PST by Windcatcher (Obama is a COMMUNIST and the MSM is his armband-wearing propaganda arm.)
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To: celtic gal

Well if McCain wins tomorrow night, it’s all because those damn polls aggravated us to walk on broken glass and vote.


47 posted on 11/03/2008 6:26:50 PM PST by MinorityRepublican
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To: celtic gal

Well if McCain wins tomorrow night, it’s all because those damn polls aggravated us to walk on broken glass and vote.


48 posted on 11/03/2008 6:28:23 PM PST by MinorityRepublican
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To: celtic gal

Well if McCain wins tomorrow night, it’s all because those damn polls aggravated us to walk on broken glass and vote.


49 posted on 11/03/2008 6:29:16 PM PST by MinorityRepublican
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To: jsdjason
Obama: 91% dem...

Good post.

I would only add that Obama is NOT getting 91% of the Democrat vote. So I wonder what other weighting factors Gallup uses to get the above result?

What other weighting variables would favor Obama Democrats vs. Hillary Democrats?

Rural vs. City, Black vs. White and Young vs. Old are three variables I think would differentiate an Obama Democrat vs. a Hillary (potential crossover) Democrat.

I want to see Gallup's weighting for these three variables. Or better yet Gallup, don't waste my time with your worthless poll.

50 posted on 11/03/2008 6:38:22 PM PST by FreeReign
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To: Friendofgeorge

I heard that too and that is just crazy. She underestimates Obama with a super majority in the Senate and a House in the bargin. This is what these socialists have been waiting for...they will have their clutches on the govt and WH and I suppose it will take 4 years of hell before the rest of the nation revolts. If this comes to pass, I can’t wait for the first person I know who voted for this horrific set up to gripe...they will be griping to the wrong person and I will show them no sympathy.


51 posted on 11/03/2008 7:41:24 PM PST by celtic gal
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To: WestFlorida

It’s hip to call yourself an independent at this point. It could mean anything. Dumb sheep.


52 posted on 11/03/2008 8:07:22 PM PST by Force of Truth (The "common good" will make us all common.)
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To: WestFlorida

that is a pretty disgusting weighing


53 posted on 11/03/2008 8:08:42 PM PST by wardaddy (I'm as enthusiastic about Obama as my kinfolks were about Reconstruction)
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To: celtic gal

J-O-U-R-N-A-L-I-S-T-S....


54 posted on 11/03/2008 8:10:00 PM PST by screaminsunshine
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To: WestFlorida

It’s the BIG SCAM. I have to call a relative who I just found out is not planning on voting. He’s been fairly solidly conservative over the years, but has given into all the negativity/inevitability that’s plastered all over the news. It’s tiring to have to do this, but that’s the media/Obama campaign strategy......defeat conservatives by convincing them their vote is useless. Check on your peeps, FR’s. Some won’t vote without the encouragement.


55 posted on 11/03/2008 8:25:37 PM PST by Girlene
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To: Girlene

I hope your friend changes their mind. I really don’t understand how folks can just give up without even casting a vote.

Folks, as you go to VOTE, just tell yourself, no matter what the polls say:

WIN OR LOSE, THEY HAVE TO GET PAST ME FIRST!


56 posted on 11/03/2008 8:38:33 PM PST by BradyLS (DO NOT FEED THE BEARS!)
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