Survey USA NC McCain 49/Obama 48 with +10 Dem Bias and MCcain carries Independents

SUSA ^

[sunmars]

No way he's losing NC with this kind of Poll.

Look at the internals

McCain carries 3 of 4 regions, carries indies by 8, only loses women by 3.

Dem sample of 46% to Rep 36% (no way is that NC).

McCain takes 88% of Reps and 18% of Dems. Obama takes on 80% of Dems and 10% repubs (which means a +16 to McCain. If Obama can oly take 80% of Dems and lose indies, he cannot win, no way

NC aint even close folks, the only reason it is with internals like that is the 10% dem Bias.

[Perdogg]

I don’t know how many times this has been posted already.

[ConstantConservative]

Wow!

How accurate is this?

Is dole really going to lose that bad?

Are people upset with her atheist comment?

[SuperSonic]

From the NC State Board of Elections site:

Democratic: 2,865,662

Republican: 2,002,601

Libertarian: 3,607

Unaffiliated: 1,393,960

Total: 6,265,830

[Paul8148]

So higher turnout tomorrow helps McCain.

[rlferny]

conventional wisdom is that higher turnout always helps republicans.

[Paul8148]

Well in the sense that McCain is winning the people who plan to vote tomorrow in N.C by huge margins.

[AHerald]

Is dole really going to lose that bad?

Poll out today: North Caroline Senate Race Poll: Dole 46%, Hagan 45%

[longtermmemmory]

which is why the democrats are pushing the UNconventional turnout.

they have extended the republican turnout effort into their early voting effort.

They can use fewer volunteers to do the daily work that republicans do in 72 hours.

[longtermmemmory]

gee Britt Hume was writing her epitaph.

[rwilliam]

Here are the party affiliation numbers for this poll:

Democrat - 46%

Republican - 36%

Independent - 17%

For the record, here are the party affiliation numbers for the 2004 election:

Republican - 40%

Democrat - 39%

Independent - 21%

So, this poll is based on a net change of 11% towards the Democrats compared to 2004!

In any event though, the poll includes a 10% gap in party affiliation towards the Democrats.

The poll results were as follows:

McCain - 49%

Obama - 48%

So, based on that, here is how well each candidate is performing OVER their party affiliation percentage:

Obama - 2% greater than Democratic party affiliation percentage

McCain - 13% greater than Republican party affiliation percentage

That’s right! McCain is outpacing the party affiliation percentage by +11% greater than Obama!

If Republicans turn out to vote in great numbers tomorrow, this election will be very, very close (and NC won’t be). So, each and everyone of us needs to do our part to make that happen!

-Bob