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IBD/TIPP Tracking Poll: Day Twenty-Two. Obama 47.5%, McCain 43.0%, Undecided 9.5%
Investor's Business Daily ^ | 2008-11-03 | IBD/TIPP

Posted on 11/03/2008 12:15:49 PM PST by justlurking

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To: whitey righty

Exactly: Dick Morris said that Obama had to get to 49% on the IBD/TIPP poll. He claims that most of the undecideds will be going to McCain. Check out today’s Rasmussen state polls that verify McCain’s momentum-especially in Florida where McCain gained 5 points in a week to take the lead by 1 point.


61 posted on 11/03/2008 12:41:16 PM PST by techno
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To: justlurking

I think it is very encouraging to see all the undecideds and Obama at only 47.5%. I have been praying that the scales from people’s eyes will be scaled back and they will see through “truth” and not through the manipulation of the media. The 9.5% of of undecideds are the prayer that God will answer. These people will vote for McCain/Palin.


62 posted on 11/03/2008 12:41:25 PM PST by truthandlife ("Some trust in chariots and some in horses, but we trust in the name of the LORD our God." (Ps 20:7))
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To: Reagan69

“My crazy fear is that 9.5% undecideds just don’t bother to vote.”

Scary isn’t it. Wants wrong with people.

Something like 90% of the television viewing audience in the US watched the first moon landing. That means 10% said “look Honey someone is landing on the moon. Let’s watch Gidget.”


63 posted on 11/03/2008 12:41:45 PM PST by Caper29
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To: longtermmemmory
DOES ANYONE know the historical answer?

Check the spreadsheet I cited above.

Undecideds in a 2-man race were 8.8 percent on this day in 2004.

64 posted on 11/03/2008 12:42:00 PM PST by justlurking (The only remedy for a bad guy with a gun is a good guy with a gun.)
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To: justlurking

McCain will barely win in Electoral College. Obama will get 51% of actual vote. We won’t have results for weeks.


65 posted on 11/03/2008 12:42:15 PM PST by Martins kid
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To: goldstategop; Chet 99; DesertRhino; ExTexasRedhead; Frantzie; GOP_Lady; HamiltonJay; ...

Three day average

Obama 47.36
McCain 43.66
Undecd 8.96
MOE: 3.10
Mar: 3.70


66 posted on 11/03/2008 12:43:02 PM PST by Perdogg (John McCain for President)
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To: babydubya1981

THAT’s the 64k question... Folks keep saying that most will break McCain’s way... What if they just stay home?


67 posted on 11/03/2008 12:43:06 PM PST by NYC Republican (PLENTY of time for analysis/I-told-you-so in 2 days. Now, Infuriate the MSM--- Support McCain/Palin)
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To: MooseChic

McCain will overcome. keep the faith.


68 posted on 11/03/2008 12:43:23 PM PST by se_ohio_young_conservative (Sarah for VP !)
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To: justlurking

Well, O’s well under 50, McCain’s been see-sawing a bit in this poll of late, today was a see, so tomorrow should be a saw and a win, as long as we VOTE!!!


69 posted on 11/03/2008 12:44:32 PM PST by Hurricane Andrew (History teaches that wars begin when governments believe the price of aggression is cheap.)
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To: LS

Don’t forget Wisconsin and maybe even Michigan!


70 posted on 11/03/2008 12:44:56 PM PST by impeachedrapist (Bill Clinton, as Arkansas Attorney General did you make Juanita Broaddrick pay for her rape kit?)
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To: goldstategop
Its sobering to realize that the difference between an Obama presidency, a socialist America and a McCain presidency and a traditional America rest with a handful of undecided voters

For many, "Undecided" is more than likely code for "I hate pollsters and it's none of your d@mn business who I'm voting for" which is code for "I'm voting McCain"

71 posted on 11/03/2008 12:46:41 PM PST by Mygirlsmom (P.O.O.P. Prevent Overtaxation Of Plumbers-or we'll all be knee deep in it!)
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To: BCrago66
This poll on the surface would send shivers down Obamites legs but look deeper and it should make them real nervous if not dejected. All these rosey turnout projections by pollsters including fatty Scott Rasmussen and Terrorist Sympathizer John Zogby have ingested into their models is turning out to be wrong, wrong. This polling scandal is unfolding. I hate talking about polls but if you see today hidden behind that useless national number is Obama’s sliding numbers in ALL the battlegrounds and even some Blue States. I like where we are at. Gonna be epic tomorrow night.
72 posted on 11/03/2008 12:47:15 PM PST by pburgh01
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To: justlurking
Undecideds at 9.5% means two things:

1) There are still huge doubts about the One;

2) There are still a lot of people who won't tell a pollster they're voting for McCain because they don't want to be tagged as racists.

I don't know if all these undecideds will show up to vote, but if only half of them do, it's gonna be McCain in a squeaker.

73 posted on 11/03/2008 12:47:30 PM PST by mojito (Obama: a glowing plastic post-modern Jesus for the dashboard of your Prius)
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To: WilliamReading

I’ve been saying for a while...it’s all in how VA goes. I live in VA and honestly I don’t feel very good. Not a bad feeling of dred, but I definitley don’t have a warm fuzzy on the situation.


74 posted on 11/03/2008 12:47:54 PM PST by for-q-clinton (If at first you don't succeed keep on sucking until you do succeed)
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To: LS

I dunno, LS...I’m not feelin’ too good about this.


75 posted on 11/03/2008 12:48:07 PM PST by RockinRight (I'm Stupid and I Vote - Obama '08)
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To: LS

Is that 1 point lead reliable? I respect your stuff, so I’d like to know... Are you trying to motivate everyone, or do you really think McCain has a good shot at winning?


76 posted on 11/03/2008 12:48:31 PM PST by NYC Republican (PLENTY of time for analysis/I-told-you-so in 2 days. Now, Infuriate the MSM--- Support McCain/Palin)
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To: justlurking

Some of the breakdowns look pretty wierd (for example, Obama gets only 49%in the West, which must include a huge lead in CA), but the Midwest breakdown looks pretty good to me if it is accurate. The poll has the candidates dead even with 11% undecided. I don’t know what states the pollster puts in his “Midwest” category, but Illinois with a huge Obama majority must be in there. If so, The Midwest so-called “battleground” states may be looking very good for McCain.

I just hope and pray (literally) that the Catholic and Jewish Democrats, as well as the rank-and-file union Democrats, cannot stomach a Marxist abortionist as their President.


77 posted on 11/03/2008 12:49:08 PM PST by olrtex
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To: Mitt Romney

About these undecided voters. Here is how I feel.

I feel like I did back in school. I was getting in trouble a lot after my moms second divorce. They called a parent-teacher confrence. So I am sitting in the hallway. while my mother, my grandfather, my teacher and the principal. I am sitting there. I cant kind of hear them talking, but I cant tell. JUST WAITING MY FATE. WAITING MY FATE. it doesnt look good. nervous as hell..

my mom decided to homeschool me instead of having them place me in a school for bad kids.


78 posted on 11/03/2008 12:50:28 PM PST by se_ohio_young_conservative (Sarah for VP !)
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To: NYC Republican
What if they just stay home?

Then, I'd guess, we'll be in a bit of a pickle.

However, remember that these are supposed to be "likely voters", meaning the pollster thinks they will actually go to the polls. I feel, based on what we saw in the primaries, that this pool of undecideds will vote and does not want the pollster to know for whom they will vote.

79 posted on 11/03/2008 12:50:52 PM PST by TonyInOhio (Exit polls are only published to keep YOU from voting.)
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To: justlurking

They are not “Independents”.

Call them what they are: Reeds in the wind.

They’ll vote for whoever was the last candidate they thought they heard promise them something.


80 posted on 11/03/2008 12:52:21 PM PST by ApplegateRanch (The Great Obamanation of Desolation, attempting to sit in the Oval Office, where he ought not..)
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