Any ties go to McCain.
Bradley effect minimum 3% in my humble opinion.
I agree with you on the Bradley effect being 3% minimum and expect to go even higher after all the calls into Minnesota the last few days.
I am still predicting white flight from the Dems to McCain for a host of reasons including McCain is someone they know all about and trust and know little about Obama except he wants Change and don’t trust.
Bottom line ‘affirmative action’ is going to get Obama in the end!