Well when you over sample dems by 6-10% that poll normally gives it to the dem.
Yes, but the point is, the same pollsters showing an Obama win showed a McCain win in 2004.
They are oversampling Dems. But, you know what, they did in 2004 and most showed Bush ahead, NOT BEHIND.
Close, but still ahead.
The fact that not one poll has McCain ahead should be worrisome.
Not ONE.
Now, they could be oversampling it so bad this time McCain is actually ahead. But, I would not bet even a cent on that being the case.
TURNOUT IS KEY. WE MUST GET TO THE POLLS TO WIN THIS.
And we can. I am NOT here to say we will lose this.
We can and I am confident if we turn out, we WILL WIN THIS!
But, we have GOT to be realistic and stop believing pie-in-the-sky nonsense about us being only a couple points down in NJ. Come on!
We have got to be realistic that not every poll is out to get us. Even TIPP has Obama ahead.
If we can’t even get a lead in TIPP, that should be a worry!