“279 suggests that McCain wins VA/NV/CO/NM and loses PA/IA.”
279 also suggests McCain wins FL/OH/VA/IA/NH/ME(1)
loses PA/NV/CO/NM/MT
279 also suggests McCain wins FL/PA/VA/IA/NH
loses OH/NV/CO/NM/MT
279 also suggests McCain wins OH/PA/VA/NH/CO/NV
loses FL/NM/MT/IA
279 also suggests McCain wins OH/PA/FL/NH
loses VA/NM/MT/IA
279 also suggests McCain wins OH/FL/VA/NH/MT
loses NM/IA/CO/PA
279 also suggests McCain wins OH/FL/NH/CO/IA
loses VA/PA/NM/MT
Technically true, but I think we can regard contingencies where McCain loses MT but still wins the election as remote.