Posted on 11/01/2008 4:11:27 PM PDT by tallyhoe
There was another attack this morning and that took some time to deal with. Remember that if the site is unreachable, try the backup sites: www.electoral-vote3.com through www.electoral-vote8.com. I will also update the site tonight as the actual results come in.
Furthermore I will also do a post-mortem on the election in the coming days, so check back later in the week. My special interest is how well the pollsters did. To see the current predictions broken down by pollster, see the Pollsters page and the pages for the battleground states, many of which have separate graphs per pollster. Now let's start with the pre-mortem.
Another bumper crop of polls, 47 in all. Five states changed since yesterday. A University of New Hampshire poll breaks the tie there and gives Kerry a 1% edge in New Hampshire 49% to 48%. According to Zogby, Kerry is also edging ahead in New Mexico, 51% to 48%.
Now come some controversial polls. Yesterday we had Kerry ahead in Ohio on the strength of a Gallup poll showing him 7% ahead there. Today we have a new Fox News/Opinion Dynamics poll showing Kerry 3% ahead there Please don't send e-mail telling me what you think of Fox news. I'm pretty good at guessing, but I am trying very hard to be impartial. Tomorrow we'll know. Similarly, in Wisconsin a Fox News/Opinion Dynamics poll shows Kerry's 7% lead has vanished overnight and been replaced by Bush's 3% lead. Again, PLEASE no e-mail about this. Instead, come back tomorrow for the post-mortem. If you don't buy these numbers, add 30 to Kerry and subtract 30 from Bush to get Kerry 292, Bush 231.
(Excerpt) Read more at electoral-vote.com ...
I can’t stand the guy that runs that site. One of those who claims to be libertarian but vote liberal Democrat.
Ahh, yes ... Memories of the mighty Kerry juggernaut, and the pollsters in the bag for it ...
I for one am just glad to see the President Kerry era coming to an end...
Great post
Notice IA and the Margins in MN and WI. They had Ohio and Florida for Kerry. They had NM tied and CO barely for Bush (What were the finally numbers)
Notice Gallop had J Kerry up 7% in Ohio...hmm...
Like I said on a previous thread, the polls are biased left. They tend to overrepresent registered democrats and blacks disproportinate to their actual numbers, in order to give the pollster his/her desired results. The fact that the polls show Obama in the lead should not be a surprise to the informed conservative.
This is comforting, thanx FRiend.
I feel like I’ve been a real trooper and kept the faith and encouraged everyone, and balled out a few doomy gloomy types. This is one of those days however, I’m feeling faint. Part of me wants this over ASAP, part of me is afraid to get there, I might not like the answer to the question.
Somebody slap me please.
It’s good to look back and remember from whence we came.
I did NOT like John Kerry, and there was no doubt in my military mind from minute-one that I wouldn’t vote for him, but I sure don’t remember loathing & fearing him the way I do Obama.
Kerry would’ve been wimpy and mamby-pamby, as would’ve Al Gore, but neither of them would’ve done the amount of damage that Obama will do to our country.
And those wives of theirs! Good Gawd! Can you see EITHER of them as First Lady? (Theresa Heinz ‘Pass the Booze’ Kerry or Michelle ‘Lady MacBeth’ Obama?) I know that who the First Lady will be isn’t ‘supposed’ to matter, but I truly think it does.
VOTE, People! VOTE! :)
One more note, this was 1 day before the election
Wow, compared to those two, I’d probably liked Tipper.
“Somebody slap me please.”
*SLAP* LOL! :)
I feel the same way. I know in my heart that God is guiding us and our country, but there are days when even I (one of the most POSITIVE people on FR that you’ll ever meet) think He may be guiding us over a cliff...
Hang tough. Plan for the worst and pray for the best outcome.
Every time I see polling data from 2004, I have greater hope that things are going to end well for us Tuesday night.
Yes I know!
Another bumper crop of polls, 47 in all. Five states changed since yesterday. A University of New Hampshire poll breaks the tie there and gives Kerry a 1% edge in New Hampshire 49% to 48%. According to Zogby, Kerry is also edging ahead in New Mexico, 51% to 48%.
Now come some controversial polls. Yesterday we had Kerry ahead in Ohio on the strength of a Gallup poll showing him 7% ahead there.
It is never over.
We are never finished.
This battle is for life.
Come what may, if I am the last standing or one of millions spitting on liberalisms grave one day.
I choose to fight them.
This battle, the next battle, forever.
Our charater is being tested.
Our willingness to fight, to win, to bounce back from their attacks or yes, sometimes our losses.
I will disappoint them everytime.
They cannot stop me.
Nothing is over election day for me.
What’s an “electorial” vote?
Michelle Obama talks more like the First Lady of Venezuela than of the United States.
This is one of my all time favorite pictures. I hope she is on the same street corner November 5th.
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