Trend to narrow Palin/McCain- Biden/Obama gap down to only 2 or 3% (with 6% undecided)

[b]Trend to narrow Palin/McCain - Biden/Obama gap down to only 2 or 3% (with 5 to 6% undecided) confirmed more and more..

- Biden-Obama drop down -2% in the latest FoxNews polls, distance to Palin-McCain reduced to only 3% (with 6 % undecided) ![/b] ------------------------- For a 3rd Day in a row, more and more Pollsters confirm a recent trend to narrow the Palin/McCain - Biden/Obama gap down to only 2 or 3 % :

- According to the latest, October 30, FoxNews polls it fell down to only 3 %, i.e. within the "margin of error", and with more than 6 % undecided. This means a fall of -2% for Biden/Obama, (who lose their earlier 5% lead of the Past, confirming a Downward Trend towards the end of the Month).

[img]http://galaxy.rack111.com/news/images/stories/usafoxpolls.jpg[/img] [img]http://64.136.20.22/1770176_l.jpg[/img]

The Palin-McCain to Biden-Obama gap has even "narrowed down" to only 2 %, since October 28 polls,"Gallup Poll Daily tracking" found for the first time : "From Saturday through Monday (it) has narrowed ...., and Obama is now at 49% ...to 47% for McCain among likely voters".

It also narrowed down to 3 %, (with 5 % undecided), for GWU/Battleground's polls :

All this confirms the diminution of the gap down to only 2.8%, (with 8.8% "undecided"), already found at Monday's, October 27 polls, by IBD/TIPP Tracking Poll ;

"A sight dip" was also found today (Tuesday, October 28), by Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby polls, who agree for the second time in a row that Palin-McCain arrive closer than before to Biden-Obama, with 44.7% to 49%, (even less than Yesterday : 45.1% to 49.9%), some 5% remaining "unsure".

- "McCain ... has sliced Obama's.. advantage by more than half (- 50%) in the last five days", Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby polls find.

See : http://www.foxnews.com/projects/pdf/103008_poll.pdf , http://www.gallup.com/poll/111568/Gallup-Daily-Presidential-Race-Narrows-Slightly.aspx , http://www.realclearpolitics.com/RCP_PDF/BG_102808_2-way-ballot-trender.pdf , http://www.ibdeditorials.com/series13.aspx , http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=1613

McCain not only CAN pull this off, he WILL pull this off.

Guys, fight like we are down, but we are up at least 3-4, and I fully expect a McCain victory in the 4-5% range.

Polls are only meaningful, if the inputs are accurate.. they aren’t. Pollsters have already admitted that the number of “refuse to be polled” numbers are higher here than any other election cycle, that alone makes the polls dubious at best.

Unions have been calling their members telling the, “Vote Fauxbama or else”. YOu think you get a call like that, you are going ot be honest with any pollster from that point on? Hell no, you are going to tell any pollster you are going to vote Fauxbama so you won’t get harrassed or intimidated at work etc. (THe people I have talked to about this were members of the Teachers Unions, but I fully expect other unions are doing it as well) Then you have the PUMA’s and they are organized and have been telling each other from the begining to lie to the pollsters.

The polls are worthless, Fauxbamas peak was within the margin of error and that was about a month ago, he’s not winning this thing, so long as republicans don’t get dejected, and show up strong and vote, McCain doesn’t only win, he wins significantly. Stay Positive, GOTV.

I'm with you HJ. As I have said elsewhere, putting aside a pollsters' agenda, I don’t know if anyone could weight the polls with any confidence this cycle. So many factors, e.g., PUMAs (saw recently a 25%-30% number of Hillary supporters that are not in BO’s camp), Bradley/Wilder effect (amongst democrats as GOP voters are already not going to vote for BO regardless of color), an invigorated GOP base (the Palin Effect and a genuine fear of BO by many others), Operation Chaos (as to democrat registration numbers in the latter ‘rat primary states) and the fact that the polls were so far off in the last of the democrat primaries where Hillary blew off BO’s doors in PA and the like relative to a number of the polls, all throw traditional models into the trash. As such, I think the pundits, presstitutes and 'rats are in for a surprise when the votes are tallied.

That said, when I hear the likes of Karl Rove and Michael Barnes to the contrary, I worry and fear that BO will buy/steal this thing. Regardless, we do need to run like we are 5 points back and GOTV everywhere...

Only 2% difference, with Downward "Trend", confirmed also by Rassmussen + IBD/TIPP anew !

- "Now", it's no more than a tiny difference of only 2%, which separates Biden-Obama de Palin-McCain on "favorable views" by voters "nationwide" (55% to 53%), revealed Rasmussen's Polls today, November 2. Confirming the downward "trend" on vote intentions, the Biden-Obama to Palin-McCain gap falls down from 8%-4% "last Month" to only 5% or 3% "for the past seven Days", according to the latest Rasmussen's Daily Presidential Tracking Poll.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_20082/2008_presidential_election/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

- Only a small 2 % voters' gap (with 8,7 % undecided !) between Palin-McCain and Biden-Obama was found also today, November 2, by IBD/TIPP Tracking Poll :

- "The race tightened again ....as independents who'd been leaning to Obama shifted to McCain..... McCain also pulled even in the Midwest, moved back into the lead with men, padded his gains among Protestants and Catholics, and is favored for the first time by high school graduates", it found.

( In 2004 TIPP won the title of "Nation's Most Accurate Pollster", guessing US President GWBush's victory against most other Pollsters)...

http://www.ibdeditorials.com/series13.aspx?src=POLLTOPN

For many Days in a row, more and more Pollsters confirm a recent trend to narrow the Palin/McCain - Biden/Obama gap down to only 2 %, (while much more are undecided) :

It also narrowed down to 3 %, (with 5 % undecided), for GWU/Battleground's polls :

All this confirms the diminution of the gap down to only 2.8%, (with 8.8% "undecided"), already found at Monday's, October 27 polls, by IBD/TIPP Tracking Poll ;

- "McCain ... has sliced Obama's.. advantage by more than half (- 50%) in the last five days", Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby polls find.

See : http://www.ibdeditorials.com/series13.aspx?src=POLLTOPN , http://www.foxnews.com/projects/pdf/103008_poll.pdf , http://www.gallup.com/poll/111568/Gallup-Daily-Presidential-Race-Narrows-Slightly.aspx , http://www.realclearpolitics.com/RCP_PDF/BG_102808_2-way-ballot-trender.pdf , http://www.ibdeditorials.com/series13.aspx , http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=1613

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Lead reversed on Indies+

+ Palin-McCain re-start to lead among Independents, on US leadership, etc.

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=> Palin-McCain "lead" now among Independents 50-37%, according to November 3, Diageo/Hotline Tracking Poll,

while the Presidential race's trend spectacularly narrows down the Palin-McCain to Biden-Obama gap to only 2 or 3%, within the error margin, and with some 8% undecided, according to many Polls (See below),

Moreover, "McCain has opened up a lead over Obama on the question of which candidate is more prepared to lead the country. A week ago (10/27), the candidates were tied at 45%. Today, McCain leads is ahead by 6 pts. (49-43%)", Diageo/Hotline Tracking Poll found on Monday !

And Dems' past lead on the generic congressional ballot question fell down -3pts from what it was "a week ago".

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/docs/Hotline_110308.htm

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And, DON'T FORGET : Recent HISTORY, in 2004 US Presidential Elections (clearly won by GVBush beyond any expectation) and British Elections on 2005, prove that MANY POLLS are MANIPULATED !

Just to remind some related interesting Facts :

At another historic example, Polls had also fooled People to abstain, by claiming that one side would win with a large margin of more than 10% up to the last evening, but after the vote all found that this was FALSE propaganda, since the real marging was less than ..one (1) %, ... (and even that was suspected for Fraud) !..

This happened back in 2005 at the British elections, where People were manipulated by the Liberal ("Socialist") pals of Biden-Obama, the unforgettable Mr. Bliar, (the same one who notoriously pushed USPresident GBush to Iraq war with Falsified Reports, that his US Liberal pals tried to exploit later)...

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