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Polls show Obama with clear lead in Virginia
AP ^ | Monday, October 27, 2008

Posted on 10/27/2008 2:26:05 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican

THE POLL: Virginia Commonwealth University, presidential race in Virginia among likely voters (13 electoral votes).

THE NUMBERS: Barack Obama 51 percent, John McCain 40 percent.

OF INTEREST: Obama's strongest regions are northern Virginia and Hampton Roads, the latter dominated by military interests where McCain, a former Navy pilot, should be strong. Obama dominated among respondents who regarded the economy and health care as the most important issues. McCain was strong among people whose foremost concern was terrorism.

THE DETAILS: Conducted by telephone Oct. 20-22 by VCU's Center for Public Policy of 817 likely voters. The margin of sampling error plus or minus 4 percentage points.

___

THE POLL: Washington Post, presidential race in Virginia among likely voters.

THE NUMBERS: Barack Obama 52 percent, John McCain 44 percent.

OF INTEREST: A month ago, the same poll showed that 52 percent felt McCain was best suited to handle the campaign against terrorism, 10 points better than Obama. Now, the poll shows that Obama has drawn almost even with McCain on the terrorism issue.

THE DETAILS: Conducted by telephone Oct. 22-25 among 784 likely voters. The margin of sampling error plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.

(Excerpt) Read more at ap.google.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: Virginia
KEYWORDS: 2008polls; leftwingconspiracy; mccain; obama; palin; sillystudents; studentsurveys; va2008
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Comment #41 Removed by Moderator

To: Illinois Rep

Having been approached hatefulling now for wearing a “NOBAMA” shirt, for whom do you think the average person would tell a black woman he or she is voting?


42 posted on 10/27/2008 2:39:38 PM PDT by MeanWestTexan (A Jew voting for Obama is like a chicken voting for Col. Sanders.)
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To: MinorityRepublican; All

I was shocked when that weirdo won the senate race there two years ago. Even he, as former sec of the navy, didn’t exactly walk away with it in hampton roads, if i recall.


43 posted on 10/27/2008 2:40:00 PM PDT by GodfearingTexan
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To: DarthVader

Not really true. 700 is standard sample size. I hope there is a good dose of oversampling in these polls.


44 posted on 10/27/2008 2:40:03 PM PDT by Norman Bates (Freepmail me to be part of the McCain List!)
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To: MinorityRepublican

Internals: http://www.commonwealthpoll.vcu.edu/CPOLL-Pres-Sen-Race-report-10-26-08.pdf

+7 Dems...


45 posted on 10/27/2008 2:40:18 PM PDT by mrsmith
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To: MinorityRepublican
"...and Hampton Roads, the latter dominated by military interests where McCain, a former Navy pilot, should be strong."

Langley Air Force Base, Norfolk Naval Base, Naval Air Station Oceana, Fort Eustis, Fort Story, Fort Monroe.

Think they'll vote Obama? Plenty of absentee ballots come into Virginia from our best & brightest deployed to sea or elsewhere...if they're not disenfranchised.

46 posted on 10/27/2008 2:40:48 PM PDT by KriegerGeist (I'm now considered a "Bitter Clinger" to my guns and religion.)
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To: ladyvet

Help!!


47 posted on 10/27/2008 2:41:04 PM PDT by Norman Bates (Freepmail me to be part of the McCain List!)
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To: MinorityRepublican
Now, the poll shows that Obama has drawn almost even with McCain on the terrorism issue.

This is how I know it's a bogus poll. That is as believable as the Red Sox winning the 2008 World Series.

48 posted on 10/27/2008 2:42:27 PM PDT by The Hound Passer
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To: MinorityRepublican
For President Barack Obama and his world wide Obamacon cult, the Upcoming Election is "Just a Mere Formality!".

The polls show that Lord Obama has won. So just stop this stupid and outdated technicality of an Election. Osama/bama is now our FUERHER UBER BAMA, er president of America and the entire world.


49 posted on 10/27/2008 2:43:10 PM PDT by Grampa Dave (Liberal pseudo businesses like NY Slimes, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mack, Tribune are Ponzi Schemes)
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To: MinorityRepublican
What is the Republican/Democrat split assumed by the poll? The MSM has been using a lot of polls where the R/D split is nowhere close to reality. I could make Obama win an Alaska poll if I assumed that 90% of Alaskans are Democrats.
50 posted on 10/27/2008 2:43:25 PM PDT by KarlInOhio (Obama: Spread the Wealth = Marx: From each according to his ability, to each according to his needs)
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To: MinorityRepublican

pure marxist crapaganda. a half-brained rhesus monkey can see thru this garbage.


51 posted on 10/27/2008 2:44:00 PM PDT by kingattax (99 % of liberals give the rest a bad name)
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To: LS; pissant

Link to internals in reply 45.


52 posted on 10/27/2008 2:44:25 PM PDT by mrsmith
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To: The Hound Passer
That is as believable as the Red Sox winning the 2008 World Series.

I can dream, can't I?

53 posted on 10/27/2008 2:44:29 PM PDT by Big Guy and Rusty 99 (If Benito Mussolini was IL DUCE, Barack Obama is ILL DOUCHE!)
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To: mrsmith

I could not find the party breakdown.


54 posted on 10/27/2008 2:46:36 PM PDT by Perdogg (Raila Amollo Odinga - community organizer)
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To: MinorityRepublican

This has a familiar ring to it. Over the weekend, the Rocky Mountain News ran a headline that BHO has a 12% lead over McCain in Colorado. There is no way he is up by 12 %. Colorado is a split state at the moment and may end up going BHO but it won’t be by those kind of numbers if at all.
Where are they getting this crap?
It’s the same old same old: It’s over, nothing to see here, move along...


55 posted on 10/27/2008 2:46:44 PM PDT by luv2ski
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To: MinorityRepublican
For President Barack Obama and his world wide Obamacon cult, the Upcoming Election is "Just a Mere Formality!".

The polls show that Lord Obama has won. So just stop this stupid and outdated technicality of an Election. Osama/bama is now our FUERHER UBER BAMA, er president of America and the entire world.


56 posted on 10/27/2008 2:46:50 PM PDT by Grampa Dave (Liberal pseudo businesses like NY Slimes, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mack, Tribune are Ponzi Schemes)
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To: soupcon

bump


57 posted on 10/27/2008 2:48:58 PM PDT by CPT Clay (Drill ANWR, Personal Accounts NOW ,)
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To: KriegerGeist
A lot of people here vote absentee anyway. Over half of the guys in my shop vote in their home districts. So it is hard telling how Hampton roads will go. The non military people around here will most likely vote 0. They will all be jobless when 0bama cuts military spending, and the military cuts the useless contracts.

Will be interesting. My neck of the woods has far more McCain/Palin signs then anything else, so there is still some hope here.

58 posted on 10/27/2008 2:51:00 PM PDT by DYngbld (Aspire to inspire before you expire)
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To: Norman Bates

I am a scientist by trade with an MBA. I laugh at samples of 700-800 with multiple demographic factors as they have track records of being more inaccurate and I place them at the 85-90% confidence interval. That is + or - 10 to 15%. When data points hit 1000 they start to approach the 95% confidence interval. 1100-1300 fall more comfortably into the 95% interval and that is the minimum number I find that is valid before I accept any survey data as a fairly accurate cross section on data with multi-factors.


59 posted on 10/27/2008 2:51:37 PM PDT by DarthVader (Liberal Democrats are the party of EVIL whose time of judgment has come.)
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To: Perdogg

Top of page 17.

There’s a lot of internals. Badly organized though.

http://www.commonwealthpoll.vcu.edu/CPOLL-Pres-Sen-Race-report-10-26-08.pdf


60 posted on 10/27/2008 2:52:23 PM PDT by mrsmith
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