Posted on 10/27/2008 2:26:05 PM PDT by MinorityRepublican
THE POLL: Virginia Commonwealth University, presidential race in Virginia among likely voters (13 electoral votes).
THE NUMBERS: Barack Obama 51 percent, John McCain 40 percent.
OF INTEREST: Obama's strongest regions are northern Virginia and Hampton Roads, the latter dominated by military interests where McCain, a former Navy pilot, should be strong. Obama dominated among respondents who regarded the economy and health care as the most important issues. McCain was strong among people whose foremost concern was terrorism.
THE DETAILS: Conducted by telephone Oct. 20-22 by VCU's Center for Public Policy of 817 likely voters. The margin of sampling error plus or minus 4 percentage points.
___
THE POLL: Washington Post, presidential race in Virginia among likely voters.
THE NUMBERS: Barack Obama 52 percent, John McCain 44 percent.
OF INTEREST: A month ago, the same poll showed that 52 percent felt McCain was best suited to handle the campaign against terrorism, 10 points better than Obama. Now, the poll shows that Obama has drawn almost even with McCain on the terrorism issue.
THE DETAILS: Conducted by telephone Oct. 22-25 among 784 likely voters. The margin of sampling error plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.
(Excerpt) Read more at ap.google.com ...
Having been approached hatefulling now for wearing a “NOBAMA” shirt, for whom do you think the average person would tell a black woman he or she is voting?
I was shocked when that weirdo won the senate race there two years ago. Even he, as former sec of the navy, didn’t exactly walk away with it in hampton roads, if i recall.
Not really true. 700 is standard sample size. I hope there is a good dose of oversampling in these polls.
Langley Air Force Base, Norfolk Naval Base, Naval Air Station Oceana, Fort Eustis, Fort Story, Fort Monroe.
Think they'll vote Obama? Plenty of absentee ballots come into Virginia from our best & brightest deployed to sea or elsewhere...if they're not disenfranchised.
Help!!
This is how I know it's a bogus poll. That is as believable as the Red Sox winning the 2008 World Series.
The polls show that Lord Obama has won. So just stop this stupid and outdated technicality of an Election. Osama/bama is now our FUERHER UBER BAMA, er president of America and the entire world.
pure marxist crapaganda. a half-brained rhesus monkey can see thru this garbage.
Link to internals in reply 45.
I can dream, can't I?
I could not find the party breakdown.
This has a familiar ring to it. Over the weekend, the Rocky Mountain News ran a headline that BHO has a 12% lead over McCain in Colorado. There is no way he is up by 12 %. Colorado is a split state at the moment and may end up going BHO but it won’t be by those kind of numbers if at all.
Where are they getting this crap?
It’s the same old same old: It’s over, nothing to see here, move along...
The polls show that Lord Obama has won. So just stop this stupid and outdated technicality of an Election. Osama/bama is now our FUERHER UBER BAMA, er president of America and the entire world.
bump
Will be interesting. My neck of the woods has far more McCain/Palin signs then anything else, so there is still some hope here.
I am a scientist by trade with an MBA. I laugh at samples of 700-800 with multiple demographic factors as they have track records of being more inaccurate and I place them at the 85-90% confidence interval. That is + or - 10 to 15%. When data points hit 1000 they start to approach the 95% confidence interval. 1100-1300 fall more comfortably into the 95% interval and that is the minimum number I find that is valid before I accept any survey data as a fairly accurate cross section on data with multi-factors.
Top of page 17.
There’s a lot of internals. Badly organized though.
http://www.commonwealthpoll.vcu.edu/CPOLL-Pres-Sen-Race-report-10-26-08.pdf
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