[perfect_rovian_storm]

I’ve been saying that for weeks. (But I’m not Karl...lol)

Any state where Zero has less than 50%, he will lose.

Many of the polls that have him over 50% are weighted with a ridiculous number of Dems vs past election history.

This includes some of the national polls.

I think the national polls right now are about like this:

Obama: 48

McCain: 44

[Rumierules]

If Rove is right about just the states with more than 50% going to Obama and RCP averages are correct, Obama will end up with 306 EVs.