Gallup: O-50%, M-45% (McCain +2 from yesterday)

Gallup ^ | 10/26 | Gallup

[tatown]

Obama-50%, McCain-45% (Traditional LV Model)

Obama-52%, McCain-43% (Expanded LV Model)

[GOPJ]

It’s always good when you’re moving in the right direction.

[mylife]

Trouble in Obamadise?

[babydubya1981]

Is the expanded model unchanged from yesterday?

[Galtoid]

What is traditional vs expanded?

[LeonardFMason]

Can’t be. NewsWEAK says Osbama is up by 13 points. LOL

[OhioisRed76]

Keep going baby, keep going.

God I hope Rush was right when all summer he was saying Obama is toast if he dosen’t have a 10 point lead going into the last week of the election.

Well here we are in the last week!

[tatown]

Ping

[mylife]

Got me. *shrug*

[CommieCutter]

Next Gallup poll: O- 61% M- 38%

[MittFan08]

Good news, but it looks like Gallup likes to play both sides of the fence. Somehow they’ve got McCain gaining two points among likely voters since yesterday while at the same time losing one point among “expanded likely voters.” What the heck is an “expanded likely voter”? You’re either likely to vote or you aren’t.

[purplelobster]

The truth about Obama’s deep ties to Domestic Terrorist Bill Ayers is getting out as voters are taking a hard look at the facts. People are also taking a hard look at Biden and are coming to the conclusion that he is not intellectually capable of stepping in as President.

Palin is the clearest thinker of any of the candidates. She speaks without couching her language in doublespeak and without camoflouging her actual intentions. People are responding to that and the polls are turning.

[Jeff Chandler]

I Love Polls!

[Rational Thought]

It is good news in that Democrats traditionally poll better encompassing weekends.

[mylife]

“What the heck is an “expanded likely voter”?

The “ute” vote?

[Tuxedo]

What the heck is an “expanded likely voter”?

Fat Black Person

[Aggie Mama]

Wow, this is unexpected. The trend on the weekends always favors the democrats.

[Galtoid]

Zogbot is showing the same trend today, and he isn’t too happy about it.

[andy58-in-nh]

The "traditional" model incorporates actual past voting behavior as well as an individual's stated intentions. The "expanded" model only considers whether an individual says that he or she is "certain" to vote. The more traditional approach is to disqualify those who say they are "certain" to vote but also were eligible to vote in the past election and did not do so.

[SevenMinusOne]

That is the most convoluted analysis - Reality is Biden is more ready to be POTUS/CinC than Obama (for starters).

Second, Ayers avenue will have little impact - That Obama is completely wrong on issues of large national security is of much more importance...and what the McCain camp should have made took an aggressive and systematic attack on......Hitting Obama directly on the fundamental issues of taxation and Gov't spending / control is what can shift public opinion as well....Nailing the reality home that your taxes are going to go up!...

And nothing in the majority of polls "closing" has anything to do with the "peoples minds turning / responding to Palin's message" as much as it has to do with "weighted models" being tweaked to more historical averaged figures.