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IBD/TIPP Tracking Poll: Day Eleven - O: 44.8%, M 43.7%, U: 11.6.
Investor's Business Daily ^ | 2008-10-23 | IBD

Posted on 10/23/2008 11:07:18 AM PDT by justlurking

McCain has cut into Obama's lead for a second day and is now just 1.1 points behind. The spread was 3.7 Wednesday and 6.0 Tuesday. The Republican is making headway with middle- and working- class voters, and has surged 10 points in two days among those earning between $30,000 and $75,000. He has also gone from an 11-point deficit to a 9-point lead among Catholics.

(Excerpt) Read more at ibdeditorials.com ...


TOPICS: Front Page News; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008; 2008polls; ibd; mccain; obama; palin
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To: 101voodoo

I agree. I’m finding it very hard to get along with the Obamunists, mostly because THEY keep trying to ram their opinions down my throat. I’ve already completely cut ties with a few of them, including one I had known since Kindergarten — her Republican bashing was going overboard, but her nasty, jealous snipes at Sarah were the last straw. I’ve tried being reasonable and I haven’t picked any fights but most of the Obamunists (not all; some have actually kept quiet around me) are being quite a bunch of loud, pushy, sanctimonious, arrogant smart-asses.


141 posted on 10/23/2008 12:47:09 PM PDT by GiveEmDubya (You go girl!)
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To: AU72
I will say that the wildly divergent poll results this week tells me that the pollsters don’t have a clue on getting accurate samples now,

That's probably correct. I find it hard to believe that the real electorate is swinging as wildly as the poll numbers are.

and that is good for McCain.

We would hope so ... but given the wild swings it's difficult to say that with certainty.

What I will say, though, is that (going from memory here) for the past several elections now, the polls have been significantly slanted toward the Democrats, as compared to the actual election results. If that holds true here, then "close" is indeed bad news for Obama.

142 posted on 10/23/2008 12:53:13 PM PDT by r9etb
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To: justlurking

You’re right, it’s the sample size.


143 posted on 10/23/2008 1:00:43 PM PDT by soupcon
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To: cookcounty

Good job with the Obama kid!


144 posted on 10/23/2008 1:23:08 PM PDT by Ernest_at_the_Beach (No Burkas for my Grandaughters!)
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To: justlurking

18-24 year olds.

Palin factor? There’s a reason the MSM has been targeting her relentlessly of late.


145 posted on 10/23/2008 1:23:34 PM PDT by Proudcongal (POW/WOW '08)
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To: justlurking

I have a hard time believing Obama’s winning the 25-44 and 45-64 year old groups. McCain’s most definitely ahead in reality.


146 posted on 10/23/2008 1:25:28 PM PDT by Proudcongal (POW/WOW '08)
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To: RaiderRose

He’s girding his hair plugs.


147 posted on 10/23/2008 1:27:18 PM PDT by Tony in Hawaii (Lookin' for the joke with a microscope)
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To: ScottinVA
Look at the internals — 74-22 for Mac? WTF???

Somebody at IBD/TIPP is smoking crack.

148 posted on 10/23/2008 1:29:57 PM PDT by steve-b (Intelligent design is to evolutionary biology what socialism is to free-market economics.)
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To: Obadiah
...asked whether Palin was discouraged by polls showing the GOP ticket behind [Palin stated,]"To me, it motivates us, makes us work that much harder," Palin said.

"And it also strengthens my faith, because I'm going to know, at the end of the day, putting this in God's hands, that the right thing for America will be done at the end of the day on Nov. 4. So I'm not discouraged at all."


Dobson Interview 10/22 AP Story
Palin nailin' it again. It's my li'l ol' opinion that, rather than discouraging, the polls are motivating the Republican base. I think this is what happened in 2004 too.
149 posted on 10/23/2008 1:36:19 PM PDT by Tony in Hawaii (Lookin' for the joke with a microscope)
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To: ScottinVA

It says the sample size was too small 18-24 year olds because not enough likely voters in the group. I can believe this. Apparently, the Obama supporters plan on staying home to smoke up and watch Ren & Stimpy reruns on election day.


150 posted on 10/23/2008 1:57:03 PM PDT by Texas Federalist (Palin '08)
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Comment #151 Removed by Moderator

To: r9etb

There are a few things to consider here. In Coltoure’s article she sited all of these past polls and hos wrong they were, but that 2004 was very accurate. It seems like as the elections go on, the polls get more accurate. And that doesn’t bode well for McCain as 90% of the polls have him down, and some down bad.

Also, no one is talking about his 30 min specials that will be on TV these last 2 weeks. The thing that scares me most, is that every time people here him speak, or there is a debate, or whatever, his number spike. If he does this 3 times until the election, and people follow suit, it could be very bad for McCain.


152 posted on 10/23/2008 2:01:58 PM PDT by ConstantConservative
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To: ConstantConservative; freepersoul

Welcome aboard!


153 posted on 10/23/2008 2:04:11 PM PDT by Tony in Hawaii (Lookin' for the joke with a microscope)
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To: ConstantConservative

Two newbies who just happened to register on the same day and just happen to point out how “bad” things look for McCain. Notice how DUer’s always use obvious “conservative” names.


154 posted on 10/23/2008 2:06:57 PM PDT by Proudcongal (POW/WOW '08)
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To: freepersoul
Two newbies who just happened to register on the same day and just happen to point out how “bad” things look for McCain. Notice how DUer’s always use obvious “conservative” names.

This was supposed to be addressed to freepersoul as well.

155 posted on 10/23/2008 2:08:51 PM PDT by Proudcongal (POW/WOW '08)
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To: Tony in Hawaii
I just posted this from the Vegas paper:

Why Palin softened her rhetoric - Shift, in Henderson, to message aimed at women reflects polling

156 posted on 10/23/2008 2:14:24 PM PDT by Ernest_at_the_Beach (No Burkas for my Grandaughters!)
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To: Proudcongal

I think they were first time posts for both of them.


157 posted on 10/23/2008 2:16:32 PM PDT by Cap Huff
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To: freepersoul

Uh huh. one point down and within the MOE means McCain could actually be tied or up one point.
Turnout is the key, and in this election you DUmper kids are going to be crying again, just like in 2004 when you were all celebrating at 2PM in the afternoon when CNN and co. released their exit polling data showing a big Kerry victory.


158 posted on 10/23/2008 2:19:56 PM PDT by snarkytart
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To: justlurking

Hannity was saying that IBD was the closest pollster in the last pres. election.


159 posted on 10/23/2008 2:23:07 PM PDT by Sun (Pray that God sends us good leaders. Please say a prayer now.)
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To: popdonnelly

Enough voters will figure out that Barack Hussein Obama is a threat to the Constitution, freedom, and capitalism. Despite his attempts to appear rational, he is actually a radical socialist who wants to resurrect the USSR here in the United States. Obama and the DemoSocialist Congress would send our economy into a depression with higher taxes and a war against corporate America. Obama’s goal is to make Americans more dependent on government, and less self-reliant. He intends to head a new “dictatorship of the proletariat”, complete with brain-washing of young people, control over prices and wages, control over the means of production, and more class warfare.


160 posted on 10/23/2008 2:23:08 PM PDT by pleikumud
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