Posted on 10/21/2008 5:51:17 AM PDT by bmweezer
Florida and Ohio - two "red" states from 2000 and 2004 have been trending (slowly) away from Barack Obama in recent days, with recent polls in both states showing modest John McCain leads developing (See Florida - here and here; Ohio - here.) While this is encouraging news for the GOPers, as this map shows, it might be too-little, too-late thanks to one state, Virginia:
Big assumption - NC, MO and yes, PA go red Even assuming that Pennsylvania goes "red" - which is a huge assumption that isn't yet backed up by recent polls, but seems something that the McCain/Palin camp still believes is possible (they are both visiting the Keystone state on almost a daily basis) -, without Virginia, Barack Obama still wins 270-268. And this, assumes that like Pennsylvania that Missouri too goes "red" despite recent polling, as does North Carolina, two traditional "red" states that have been flirting with Obama for weeks, if you believe the polls.
No, without Virginia, McCain needs to look elsewhere, and that seems to be Nevada (5 electoral votes) or New Hampshire (4 electoral votes). Either one, assuming the aforementioned scenario, would give McCain/Palin enough votes and cause such a massive exportation by liberals to Canada that this country would be better off for decades to come.
Our advice, for the next fourteen days watch the polls in FL, NC, NH, NV, OH, PA and VA, all but PA have been "red' in recent elections. If John McCain can finally security the majority of these, he just might win.
I saw a new McCain ad with him in an easy chair, talking all warm and fuzzy about how much he loved America and what he wanted to do in broad terms to improve America. He had a relaxed, confident air about him. Obama's ads have been hit pieces as of late, getting more negative by the day (McCain taking away Medicare, etc.).
I was thinking McCain could pick off some Jews in PA by questioning O's support for Israel or some Reagan Catholic Democrats by pointing out O's extreme views on abortion, but maybe he won't even have to do that. Maybe he can just stay positive from here on out to make sure he doesn't alienate the Indies.
The "bitter clingers" remarks really turned off a lot of people and also Murtha's repeated remarks that western PA is racist and redneck are also raising ire.
Remember that Kerry won PA by only 2.5% in 2004. PA is not as blue as it’s made out to be.
Don’t worry about VA, Mason Dixon who is particular good at polling Maryland and Virginia, has McCain up by 2.
McCain could almost keep Palin in CO and NV every other day with the other days in OH and PA from now until the election. McCain could take VA, FL, OH.
The piece on Fox says an investigation won't be under way until summer of 2009. That will be worthless. Polls or real voters are worthless if fraud is still counted
Mine too. We came to Virginia as Scots Irish and moved down to South Carolina after the war.
Id hate to think of the sacrifices for nothing.
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No kidding!!!?? My people are all Scotch-Irish! Last name was McDonough. Settled in Ohio.
What was the last name of your ancestor? Too cool.
Murtha told me you were racist.
Hi! I know some people @ Smith Mt. Lake. Beautiful area.
I agree...more McCain/Palin signs around here. Tons more between Roanoke and 50 miles west to Pulaski Do. where I reside.
I listened to Quinn and Rose too. If these internals are half-right (meaning that yes, McCain has PA and OH in his sights) and the GOP wins this thing, which will come as a shock to many, many, people, can you imagine the main streamers. It will be a STOLEN election for sure
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The reason they will scream “stolen” is because it is the only way THEY know how to win an election...so if WE win...how did we do it if we didn’t cheat, right?
Sure they would they need to make sure they all vote because the philly cheats will stuff the ballots by at least 10% :-)
I love that area. My dad is from Bassett, and my oldest brother and several aunts and uncles live in or around Franklin County. Good people up there.
That’s a really good idea.
I’d love to see Sarah sneak an afternoon in Michigan just to see what happens. It can be in the part of the state that overlaps with the Toledo area...
Buchanan
John Buchanan was a fighter in the War and was given 715 acres along the James River for it.
This is really neat, our ancestors probably fought together or something!
The caller said 36 for Obama.
Just reporting what I heard. Check out the thread I posted, others were repeating those numbers after hearing Carl.
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