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To: Alter Kaker

You cannot compare a 2004 poll to now. It is important to look only at polls that have two non-incumbents running. Those years were 1968, 1988 and 2000, I believe.

People, deep down, are afraid of change, so unless the President is utterly incompetent, as Jimmy Carter was, or broke a promise to his base, as Bush senior did, they will, last minute, fall back on avoiding change.


80 posted on 10/16/2008 6:37:02 PM PDT by TaxRelief (Walmart: Keeping my family on-budget since 1993.)
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To: TaxRelief
You cannot compare a 2004 poll to now.

I was replying to a poster who did just that.

It is important to look only at polls that have two non-incumbents running. Those years were 1968, 1988 and 2000, I believe. People, deep down, are afraid of change, so unless the President is utterly incompetent, as Jimmy Carter was, or broke a promise to his base, as Bush senior did, they will, last minute, fall back on avoiding change.

In 1968, in a year of chaos, voters threw out the Democratic candidate, Hubert Humphrey, and opted for change.

In 2000, voters opted for change, despite peace and prosperity.

109 posted on 10/16/2008 9:51:30 PM PDT by Alter Kaker (Gravitation is a theory, not a fact. It should be approached with an open mind...)
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