Posted on 10/16/2008 6:03:34 AM PDT by The G Man
Thursday, October 16, 2008 JOHN MCCAIN, BARACK OBAMA, HORSERACE Word From Obi Wan, Another Insider, and a Third Sign for Optimism My mentor, Obi-Wan Kenobi, checked in, perhaps worried by this post, as a few other readers were. (Folks, I don't like sharing bad news, but what am I supposed to do when I hear it?)
Obi Wan was very positive about last night's debate. "McCain won every question, looked like a leader and not the law professor that Obama looked like. McCain hit the themes of Joe the Plumber and big government as the basic difference and then hurt Obama's credibility on issue after issue. The media types will try and take the win away. — they tried in 1980 to say Carter won or that the debate was a draw. But the voters thought otherwise. It may take more than a couple of days, but as people start making judgments and ending their mood swings, the numbers should really help McCain." The second bit of good news for McCain is comes from a source in the Midwest, plugged into various GOP operations, who told me that “key metrics” in “bellweather areas” of Ohio are showing very favorable McCain numbers and that these indicators may also signal important metrics for Pennsylvania, esp. western Pennsylvania. This source has no illusions, and is worried about other states — the same ones you and I are worried about when we look at an Electoral College map — but those two states are looking surprisingly strong for McCain, with some evidence that the same folks who were skeptical of Obama in the Democratic primary are still not on board and may not ever be on board.
Finally, my third sign is a bit lighter, but interesting in measuring GOP enthusiasm for McCain, which I think had been waning in the past two weeks or so. I've got a reader who writes in regularity, reminding me that I am a gutless squish, that John McCain is just about indistinguishable from a Democrat, that it's up to real conservatives like him to keep fighting the good fight (which apparently consists mostly sending me e-mails reminding me that I am a gutless squish). He's never had a good word to say about John McCain that I can recall. And then, this morning, he writes:
(Lest there be any doubt, I remain unconvinced that Barack Obama is an al-Qaeda sleeper cell member.) |
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Hence John Murtha's pre-emptive spin yesterday accusing his own constituents of being racist.
Oh jeez. Let’s see how often that person’s line about Obama being an al-Qaeda sleeper cell member gets played on MSNBC/CNN/NBC/CBS. What was Geraghty thinking?????
Why do you think the Horse has taken the fraud issue to the US Supreme Court - because O’Bomber is scared to death of his internal poll findings in Ohio.
(NEEEEIGH!!!!)
The sleeper cell reference calls into question all of the rest of his analysis, IMO.
Dead, Obi-Wan is - Yodapipe
I heard that yesterday and thought I must have heard wrong. How does this man keep getting elected? In answer to my own question - I've heard pork. Hopefully at some point his constituents will decide that the things he says aren't work the money he brings in.
Spoken like a true establishment liberal.
Lighten up, Francis!
Again this late in the campaign I can’t conceive of John and Sarah going into PA without clear evidence that it is winnable but even more important Obama asks Hillary to go to Scranton. If Obama is indeed 15 points ahead in PA why would he send her to a state in the bag. John may be erratic, the maverick, and have a quick temper but nobody has ever accused him as being stupid. And whatever you have to say about his campaign team, his chief strategist Steve Schmidt did work for Karl Rove; I would guess he must have picked up on some of the ‘architect’s’ ideas along the way.
UPDATE: A fourth sign. Another state-level GOP guy I talk to regularly says that what he is seeing in internal polling lines up with the commentary you see in this RedState post, purportedly from an Obama campaign internal pollster, indicating that they are “very worried about how Palin appears to be energizing whole groups of people who don’t typically get energized about politics, precisely because she appeals so strongly to the middle class, as well as women and dissatisfied republicans that stayed home in 2006.”
FYI, my above post was an update from the original link, not my own words.
i am from southwestern PA, those constituents aren’t concerned about political correctness, by and large.
And the MSM still claims that Sarah only solidifies the conservative base; she has no effect on anything else; she is still the Tina Fey parody, the unqualified governor from Alaska, the woman Kathleen Parker intimates is a bimbo who can’t string two sentences together. What the reality is: she attracts SRO audiences wherever she goes and is becoming more popular as we enter the final stretch of the race.
Let them “misunderestimate” her!
More importantly....If Barry really had a comfortable lead, what was he doing back there?
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