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Very good analysis. Another thing about PA is that the Clintons for McCain have set up offices in PA and they are out working like crazy to defeat Obama. Think you will see rural PA come out in large numbers to support McCain over Obama. That Berg lawsuit is right there in PA by a Democrat so who knows how much impact that has with the delay tactics of Obama/DNC.

I believe Ohio is going McCain — in fact, I would bet on it. A lot of cities went through the race riots in Ohio and I would be willing to bet that the people who live around Dayton will not forget what it was like. With his campaign people talking riots, whites/Hispanics will not vote for Obama. I grew up there in a solid Republican county just north of Dayton. Suffice it to say Bradley affect is alive and well in Ohio. To this day if I am back in that area, I would never drive through west Dayton — never, ever.

Here's my take on the Bradley Effect. I think it's exaggerated at best, and a myth at worst. However, I respect other people's opinions, and there is certainly enough data out there to give one pause. (Cause and effect is another story.) But I'm completely ignoring it. If I count on the Bradley Effect and I'm wrong, I have the potential to be bitterly disappointed on Nov. 4th. If I'm right, then there will be ammunition for the Dems and talking heads proclaiming how racist a country we are.

I throw out the Bradley Effect. If it's real, the Obamessiah gets creamed. If it's a myth, I still think based on everything I've seen that McCain/Palin defeat Obama/Biden.