Posted on 10/10/2008 7:07:22 AM PDT by tatown
Ras: O-50%, M-45%
Battleground: O-51%, M-43%
(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...
Obama must be stopped. He must get lower than 50 percent on these polls. McCain MUST politically kill Obama on Wednesday night.
OK, this year I am concluding there is no such thing as a reliable poll.
BG all over the place. They used to weight by party ID, but they stopped a week or so ago, and have become unhinged. Think a lot of this has to do with changes in hang-up rates among conservative voteres amid frustration at the media establishment.
Even the "reliable" polls are trending toward Obama.
How do you go up 8 in one day? Im gonna have a heart attack.
BG stopped being reliable when they stopped re-weighting by voter ID last week (or week before).
McCain has a good chance to win if he stays w/i 5 points. For most polls that is just outside the margin of error and I suspect there is a lot of error b/c of the Bradley Effect. The only wild variable is we don’t know how extensive the ACORN voter fraud going on is. That is where a big GOP/McCain turnout matters and could win the day. EVERY McCain vote is going to be significant. Spread the news.
Grow up, I’m not making the polls up just posting them.
Obama pisses me off. The President is about to talk and Obama decides to have a press conference 20 minutes before the President talks. I hate the guy with every cell in my body, but his campaign is so much better than McCain’s. McCain will probably come running to a microphone sometime tomorrow to catch up...lol.
Read this lovely piece how the Obama pollster running the poll cooked the poll weeks ago !
http://www.pollster.com/blogs/battleground_drops_party_weigh.php
Why aren't you informing people of this massive change !
The Battleground poll is a bit disheartening.
I don't know that I would call any poll "reliable" that went from a +3 for one guy to a +8 when it is a 3 day rolling average.
At this point I am going to fight as hard as ever for McCain to keep that dangerous Marxist out of the White House, and if the polls end up being validated on election day then we have a whole new battle to wage after that. Until then I know plenty of people, including Democrats, who do NOT want that man to be elected no matter what polls say.
There it is in a nutshell.
Amazing. You change the weighting samples, and it changes the results. Who would have thought?
/s
The “reliable” polls trended towards Kerry last time, up to election day, and look at the result, Bush won.
Battleground is run by a republican and a democrat. While you may disagree with their methodology, I don’t believe that they are ‘in the tank’ for Obama.
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