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Battleground daily tracking (M-46 O-49); McCain up two from yesterday
Battleground ^ | 10/3/08 | Battleground

Posted on 10/03/2008 7:16:52 AM PDT by Ravi

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To: ncalburt

“The lefty pollster who co-develops this cooked poll talked the conservative into CHANGING THE POLL Formula”

And we KNOW where that came from!!
For two weeks after Obama started crashing after the convention, there was diary after diary on Daily Kos about how ALL the polls were under reporting Democrats, in spite of some polls having Pro-Dem bias’s of OVER TEN PERCENT!

The KOS Moonbats control the meme now (And MANY MSM Media-types are KOS’rs!)


41 posted on 10/03/2008 7:42:30 AM PDT by tcrlaf (SARAH PALIN-The American Everywoman (Yes, You Really CAN!))
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To: LS
"We need to worry about CO and VA. Those two=victory."

RICHMOND - State elections officials say 306,215 Virginians have registered to vote since the beginning of the year.

Board of Elections Secretary Nancy Rodrigues says that’s a 7 percent increase in total voters.

Nearly 4.9 million Virginians are now registered to vote as of Thursday.

The pattern of new registrations appears to favor Democrat Barack Obama, and the largest percentage increase was in heavily Democratic Richmond.
**********************************

"Rock the Vote" bus [I think associated with ACORN] has visited the college capuses [VA-Tech, UVA, Radford, etc.] and registered students (primarily for Obama) and these students in the local news stories seem fired up to get out the vote for Obama.

It's going to take a huge Conservative turnout to counter this. I'm not saying there won't be, but Richmond, Tidewater and NoVA are three huge liberal chunks of the state and throw in the college campuses and you've got a significant challenge.

42 posted on 10/03/2008 7:44:57 AM PDT by KriegerGeist (I'm now considered a "Bitter Clinger" to my guns and religion.)
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To: CatOwner

Also that was among leftwing radicals, not the general public.


43 posted on 10/03/2008 7:48:58 AM PDT by Beeman
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To: Cedric
Two things. First, I'm worried how well he's going to do. The pressure to do well is heavier when you're behind. Second, FReepers were (and still are) predicting that McCain will “wipe the floor” with Bammi. That in itself is cause for concern, especially since it didn't happen in Round 1.
44 posted on 10/03/2008 7:49:01 AM PDT by chimera
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To: Don'tMessWithTexas

I agree, with the addition of VA.


45 posted on 10/03/2008 7:50:46 AM PDT by Beeman
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To: Geist Krieger
Ok, but you've got to remember, registering people means nothing in and of itself. In 2004, Jay Cost did an amazing analysis of OH and FL's supposedly "important" new Dem voter registrations. What he found was that in fact they were only replacing Dem voters who had left the state. Now, that's probably not the case in VA.

But "registering" can be done almost anywhere---a mall or whatever. These are the same people who wouldn't leave their houses with Hurricane Katrine bearing down on them . . . and they will turn out to vote? I'm not convinced.

That's why in the past (could change, of course) "Likely" voter polls are so much more accurate than "registered" voter polls.

46 posted on 10/03/2008 7:51:08 AM PDT by LS ("Castles made of sand, fall in the sea . . . eventually." (Hendrix))
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To: LS

I agree. I’m also in Ohio and I just don’t see that BO has this big lead that the pollsters are telling us. Even my cranky, diehard Dem neighbor is voting McCain because he’s convinced BO is indeed a muslim. This is the neighbor that had several Kerry-Edwards signs and bumper stickers 4 years ago.


47 posted on 10/03/2008 7:51:40 AM PDT by Buckeye_Hoosier
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To: RocketMan1

I bet Joe had no idea what was in store for him when she asked him if she could call him Joe. I still wish she had called him a good ol’ boy to his face.


48 posted on 10/03/2008 7:52:01 AM PDT by Proudcongal (POW/WOW '08)
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To: Cedric

no, we just didn’t like what we saw from mccain


49 posted on 10/03/2008 7:52:04 AM PDT by ari-freedom (Betcha they're good. Why shouldn't they be? Their one mistake was giving up me!)
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To: tcrlaf
I read that the Obama camp calls these pollsters up and hound /harass them into submission !

First, Rasmussen and Gallup change there formulas and
Battleground Ground Tracking POLL Is PURE Propaganda CRAP NOW TOO.
In one Day these scoundrels QUIETLY change the formula and GIVE OBAMA FOUR Points and they hoped no one would question WHY ???

They cooked a tracking poll that can't be tracked since there is a massive formula change to help Barry ! !

So take way that 4 points and McCain is ahead by 1 point !!!!

So like I say there POLLS are PURE Propaganda meant to sway Voter's opinion !

50 posted on 10/03/2008 7:54:12 AM PDT by ncalburt
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To: Don'tMessWithTexas

VA will go McCain.


51 posted on 10/03/2008 7:54:21 AM PDT by snarkytart
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To: chimera

But it did happen at the sitdown in the church(I forgot its name), and the next debate will be that type of format.


52 posted on 10/03/2008 7:55:21 AM PDT by Beeman
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To: Ravi

DeWine lost by 12% (56-44%) in 2006. The margin was nearly 453,000 votes. The final RCP average for the race had it at 53.3% to 43.3%, which ended up being pretty close. Nobody besides Zogby had DeWine above 45% after September.

As far as Ohio polls are concerned, the University of Cincinnati poll was the most accurate in 2004, coming within less than 1% for both Bush and Kerry.


53 posted on 10/03/2008 7:56:46 AM PDT by zebrahead
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To: zebrahead

So what is that poll saying this time?


54 posted on 10/03/2008 7:57:46 AM PDT by Beeman
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To: chimera

Well, when it comes to substance, McCain did wipe the floor with Obama. This next debate is a townhall, right? Plus since the MSM worked so hard to convince the public Obama won the first debate, one could argue that expectations are low for McCain which doesn’t work in the Obamaniacs’ favor.


55 posted on 10/03/2008 7:58:35 AM PDT by Proudcongal (POW/WOW '08)
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To: zebrahead

thanks for the update


56 posted on 10/03/2008 7:58:52 AM PDT by Ravi
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To: Cedric
Just look at the Media OBama - Biden lies today.
Biden was awful last night . Myu wife said his weird grins and grimaces and never looking anyone in the eye were
a disaster . But the Obama media uses the Obama
talking points about Palin ‘s winks . Every network said it this morning which is the exact talking point ( my wife say this at the gym this morning)from the evil Axelrod last night .
Palin crushed him with a smile.
Folks , these cooked PUSH Polls and Obama media surge
are now sadly obvious .
They are desperate to prop up Barry and Biden.
57 posted on 10/03/2008 7:59:17 AM PDT by ncalburt
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To: Thickman

Yes , after the magically FOUR POINT formula change by the Obama drone running the POLL !


58 posted on 10/03/2008 8:01:11 AM PDT by ncalburt
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To: Beeman; Proudcongal
Saddleback Forum. McCain seems to do better in those more freewheeling forums. I hope it turns out that way.

People were saying Nobama was going to crash in the first debate without his teleprompter. He managed to put in a credible performance. People were saying McCain was going to clobber Bummer. Most accounts I read were it was pretty much even-steven. McCain has to break out in one of these debates to generate some momentum going into the homestretch. Time is short.

59 posted on 10/03/2008 8:02:52 AM PDT by chimera
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To: TonyInOhio

That is what my wife and neighbor said last night.


60 posted on 10/03/2008 8:03:27 AM PDT by ncalburt
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