Battleground daily tracking (M-46 O-49); McCain up two from yesterday

Battleground ^ | 10/3/08 | Battleground

[Ravi]

It's a start.

[Corin Stormhands]

That’s still pre-debate, right?

[MrB]

If McCain let Palin campaign and stood around as the war hero,

this trend would soon become a landslide.

Not that I have any hope of him doing that.

[housedeep]

its a great start!!!!

not even factoring in the Palin bounce #2!!!

Obama peaked too early, and cant close the deal.

[epluribus_2]

MOE?

[rlbedfor]

if the election where today, we would loose by the smallest fraction in CO or OH. we are close. there is time to close the deal and squeek by. Gonna be close.

[Maelstorm]

I’m sure he is going to see a bump from the Palin debate. Now let us hope he doesn’t find a way to screw it up after totally botching an easy pass with this bailout.

[Thickman]

Also, this is after Battleground changed is magic formula to favor Barry. Right?

[E=MC2]

Obama peaked too early, and cant close the deal.

That is what Hillary thought.

[Cedric]

All yesterday, I said the frantic “It's over” push indicated that the Dems had some devastating internal polling.

Sadly, many good FReeper joined the trolls in the mass FReak-out.

[LS]

FWIW, I disagree. Here in OH, Obama cannot win. The redneck Dems do not like him. There was a story a week ago about how NOW the southeastern Dem HQ is still spending its time trying to convince people O isn't a Muslim.

We need to worry about CO and VA. Those two=victory.

[Proudcongal]

I could swear I went on RCP this morning and Battleground had Obama up 7. They must have changed it. Maybe RCP meant it for Rasmussen.

[Cedric]

Cut it out.

[CycloneGOP]

Zero peaked way too early. Sarah power has been restored. The LSM can’t filter last night’s performance. We had 90 minutes to see the real Sarah with no creative editing.

McCain needs to hit the RATS hard on this mortgage mess. I think he starts following the House vote.

Let Sarah be Sarah. No more holding her back. She’s a star and needs to be heard!!

[CatOwner]

Obama peaked too early, and cant close the deal.

That is what Hillary thought.

One big difference: The vote hasn't taken place yet.

[rlbedfor]

you are there, so you have the ground. good deal. I can not imagine VA going to Obama, but again I am down here in GA a wash in red.

[ScottinVA]

Yes, pre-debate.

[Ravi]

I think that was Ras. This is all predebate with their weighting to increase O’s totals.

[LS]

FWIW, I was wrong in 06. I thought DeWine would eek out a tiny victory, and that Blackwell would make it close. DeWine lost by 4-5, and Blackwell by 25. However, there is a lesson in Blackwell’s loss. On the eve of the election, most polls were in the -8 to -12 point range, and Ken lost by 25%. I’m convinced there was some “Wilder Effect” at work there.

[Don'tMessWithTexas]

I agree LS. Obama cannot win OH. The race will be decided in CO and VA.

I do not know much about CO, but I would think that that area west of the Rockies and south of Denver will determine the result.

Frankly, I do not understand why VA is so tight. I think the historic trend will hold for at least one more cycle.