FWIW, I was wrong in 06. I thought DeWine would eek out a tiny victory, and that Blackwell would make it close. DeWine lost by 4-5, and Blackwell by 25. However, there is a lesson in Blackwell’s loss. On the eve of the election, most polls were in the -8 to -12 point range, and Ken lost by 25%. I’m convinced there was some “Wilder Effect” at work there.
“wider effect”. Got it.
I don’t ever remember Dewine being down by 5 in the polling. It always seemed like it was 8 to 10 points so the fact that he lost by 5 compared to pre-election polling bodes well for this year. Blackwell on the other hand...